The Coupe de France Round of 16 match between Troyes and Lens will take place on February 4 at Stade de l'Aube. Troyes vs Lens: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Troyes
Troyes have already progressed through three rounds of the Coupe de France. In all of their matches the club won by a two-goal margin. The first two rounds were against weaker opponents from lower divisions, while in the previous stage the opponent was Bastia – a Ligue 2 struggler – whom the club managed to beat 2:0. Last season Troyes exited in the Round of 16, losing to Brest 1:2. The most successful campaign this century was 2012/13, when Troyes reached the semi-finals.
- The club has won 7 of their previous 8 matches in this competition.
- Troyes kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 7 Coupe de France games.
- A maximum of three goals were scored in 6 of Troyes’s last 7 matches in this cup.
Potential Troyes Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Nicolas Lemaitre – Ismaël Boura, Ugo Gambor, Ivan Titi, Adrien Monfrey – Mohamed Diop, Alexandre Flipono – Marten Adelin, Jores Assumu, Merwan Ifnaui – Renaud Ripart.
Lens
Lens have already played two rounds in the current Coupe de France campaign, first defeating Feignies-Aulnoye 3:1 at home, then routing Sochaux 3:0 away. Prior to that the club had not won in regulation time in this competition for four matches (three draws and one defeat). Last season Lens were eliminated in the Round of 32, losing to PSG on penalties. Interestingly, over the past 15 years the club has reached the quarter-finals three times but has never progressed further.
- The team has not lost in regulation time in 7 of their previous 8 Coupe de France matches (4 wins and 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Lens’s last 7 games in this cup.
- At least three goals were scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings in this competition.
Potential Lens Lineup (3-4-3)*
Roben Risser – Malang Sarr, Pierre Ganiu, Samson Baidou – Mathieu Udol, Adrien Thomasson, Saoud Abdelhamid, Florian Sotoca – Wesley Said, Morgan Guilavogui, Odsonne Édouard.
Due to injuries the goalkeeper Régis Gurtner, defenders Samson Baidou, Jonathan Gradit and Joanner Chaves, and midfielder Amadou Aïdara are unavailable.
Referee
Gaël Angoula (France)
Matches – 9 (the Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France, 2025/26);
Yellow/red cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 3;
Red cards – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 19;
Penalties – 44%.
Troyes vs Lens: Match Prediction
It is quite likely that Troyes will be playing in Ligue 1 next season. The club currently leads France’s second tier, but there are many matches to come and it could still finish outside the top five. Moreover, in the last two league matches the club lost and failed to score in either game. We believe Troyes are not yet capable of competing on equal terms with the top Ligue 1 sides, so we will give the edge in this meeting to the visitors.
Lens have been incredibly strong this season and it is no coincidence they are contesting the top spot with PSG. In fact both clubs have already opened a comfortable gap over their pursuers. We doubt the head coach will sacrifice the cup for the championship, especially as the team has reached such an advanced stage. The club is also in excellent form and there is no reason to stop that momentum. In their last 12 matches across Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France, Lens have won 11, losing only to Marseille. At the same time the club kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 official games.
Prediction: Lens to Win
* The starting lineup shown for each team is the one used in their previous match in this competition.
