The Matchday 4 Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and St. Pauli will take place on September 19 at the MHP Arena. Stuttgart vs. St. Pauli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Stuttgart
Sebastian Hoeneß's side suffered a 1-3 defeat away to Freiburg in the last round. Despite taking the lead, the team conceded three goals after the 80th minute. This marks Stuttgart's second defeat in the current championship. However, the club has managed to extend its scoring streak in the Bundesliga to six matches. In the standings, the Swabians occupy 12th place with three points.
- The team has lost 6 of their last 8 home matches in the Bundesliga.
- The players have not scored more than once in 6 of their last 8 home games in the league.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Stuttgart's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Stuttgart (4-5-1)
Alexander Nübel – Maximilian Mittelstädt, Finn Eltsch, Jeff Chabot, Josha Vagnoman – Bilal El-Hannous, Angelo Stiller, Badredine Bouanani, Atakan Karazor, Jamie Leweling – Ermedin Demirovic.
Forwards Deniz Undav and Silas Mvumpa will miss the match due to injuries.
St. Pauli
In the last round, Alexander Blessin's side defeated Augsburg 2-1 at home. As a result, St. Pauli secured their second consecutive Bundesliga victory for only the second time in the last two seasons. Additionally, the team has managed to score at least two goals in 4 of the last 5 league matches. The club has seven points, allowing them to occupy fourth place in the standings.
- The team has not lost in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the Bundesliga (2 wins, 3 draws).
- The club scored exactly twice in 4 of their last 5 away league matches.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of St. Pauli's last 11 away Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-5-2)
Nikola Vasilj – Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Adam Dzwigala – Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie – Andrea Untondji, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Midfielder Jackson Irvine and forward Ricky-Jade Jones will miss the game due to injuries.
Referee
Sascha Stegemann (Germany)
Matches – 17 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 58;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 12%.
Stuttgart vs. St. Pauli: Match Prediction
Recently, the Swabians have struggled to please their fans with victories, even at home. In their last eight home matches in the Bundesliga, Stuttgart has suffered six defeats. In the other two matches during this period, the team managed to win, but against Borussia Mönchengladbach, the club's advantage was only one goal, and the victory over Augsburg was significantly influenced by an early sending-off of an opponent.
St. Pauli often manages to secure points even away from home. In their last six away league matches, the team has suffered only one defeat, which occurred in a match against Bayern, where the club managed to challenge the Munich side (2-3). Also, note that St. Pauli won against Stuttgart in their last Bundesliga meeting on Stuttgart's home ground (1-0).
I expect the visitors to put up a strong fight against their opponents, and my prediction: St. Pauli with a handicap (+1)
