The Matchday 8 Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Mainz will take place on October 26 at the MHP Arena. Stuttgart vs. Mainz: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Stuttgart
Sebastian Hoeneß's side triumphed over Wolfsburg on their turf in the previous round (3-0). As a result, Stuttgart secured their fourth consecutive Bundesliga victory, with clean sheets in three of those matches. Additionally, the team scored more than two goals for the first time this season. The Swabians have collected 15 points and climbed to third place in the standings.
- The team's uncompromising home series in the Bundesliga stands at 17 matches (9 wins, 8 losses).
- The club scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches in the league.
- No more than three goals were scored in 5 of Stuttgart's last 6 home Bundesliga games.
Predicted lineup for Stuttgart (4-5-1)
Alexander Nübel – Loran Assignon, Luca Mack, Jeff Chabot, Maximilian Mittelstädt – Bilal El Khannous, Angelo Stiller, Chema Andres, Nicolas Nartey, Ramon Hendriks – Tiago Tomás.
Forward Ermedin Demirović will miss the match due to injury.
Mainz
In the previous round, Bo Henriksen's side fell short against Bayer Leverkusen at home (3-4). Consequently, Mainz suffered their third consecutive defeat in the league and their fifth in the current Bundesliga season. Furthermore, the club conceded four goals in each of their last two matches. In the standings, Mainz sits in 16th place with four points, having earned all their points away from home.
- The club has not won in 5 of their last 7 away Bundesliga matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in 7 of their last 9 away games in the league.
- Mainz has not conceded more than two goals in 11 of their last 14 away Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Lasse Rieß – Danny da Costa, Nicolas Verrazzani, Stefan Bell – Dominik Kohr, Nadim Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Philipp Mwene – Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel, Benedict Hollerbach.
Defender Anthony Caci will miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 21 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 94;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 29%.
Stuttgart vs. Mainz: Match Prediction
This season, the Swabians have focused more on solid defensive play, which is why their scoring hasn't been particularly high. Over seven rounds in the current league, Stuttgart has scored 11 goals, and in their last ten home Bundesliga matches, they have only surpassed the two-goal mark twice. In one of these instances, the Swabians played with a man advantage against Augsburg from the 12th minute.
Mainz has not consistently delivered high results away from home, but the team fights for points until the end. Notably, the club's defense has been fairly reliable: in their last 14 away league games, Mainz has only allowed opponents to score more than twice on three occasions. One of these matches was against Bayern Munich.
I don't expect the hosts to be very effective in attack, so my prediction: Stuttgart Individual Total Under 2
* The starting lineup for each team reflects their lineup in their previous match in this tournament.
