The Matchday 4 clash in the Europe 2025/26 group stage between Sturm Graz (Austria) and Nottingham Forest (England) will take place on November 6 at the Graz-Liebenau Stadium. Sturm Graz vs. Nottingham Forest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Sturm Graz
The Austrians have had an inconsistent run in the Europa League group stage so far. At home, they managed a 2-1 victory over Rangers, but they have suffered defeats on the road against Midtjylland (0-2) and Celtic (1-2). Notably, Sturm Graz has secured only one win in their last seven matches in this tournament (1 draw and 5 losses). Jurgen Seumel's side currently sits 27th, trailing the nearest top-24 opponent due to an inferior goal difference.
- The club has not lost in 6 of their last 8 home matches in the Europa League (3 wins and 3 draws).
- Sturm Graz has not conceded more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 home games in this European competition.
- The Austrians have lost the second half in their last 6 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Sturm Graz (4-4-2)
Matteo Bignetti – Emanuel Aiwu, Emir Karic, Dimitri Lavalée, Tim Erman – Tomi Horvat, Otar Kiteishvili, Filip Rosga, Emir Karic – Toci Chukwuani, Maurice Malone.
Midfielder Toci Chukwuani is unavailable due to suspension, while forward Belmin Beganovic is out with an injury.
Nottingham Forest
Sean Dyche finally brought a long-awaited victory to the club, albeit only in European competition. In the last round, the team hosted Porto and emerged victorious with a 2-0 scoreline. Prior to that, the English side drew away at Betis (2-2) and suffered an unexpected home defeat to Midtjylland (2-3). Currently, Nottingham Forest is in the top-24 with 4 points, occupying the 17th position.
- The club has only 1 win in their last 13 official matches (4 draws and 8 losses).
- Nottingham Forest has conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 matches at the official level.
- The English team has a streak of 7 away matches without a win at the official level (3 draws and 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for Nottingham Forest (3-4-3)
Matz Sels – Murillo, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Nikola Milenkovic – Neco Williams, Elliot Anderson, Dan Ndoye, Douglas Luiz – Morgan Gibbs-White, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Igor Jesus.
Forward Igor Jesus is out due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Injuries will sideline forward Chris Wood, defenders Ola Aina and Oleksandr Zinchenko, as well as midfielder Douglas Luiz.
Referee
Mykola Balakin (Ukraine)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 46;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 25%.
Match Prediction: Sturm Graz vs. Nottingham Forest
Sturm Graz is a fairly average team. Last season, they managed to excel in their domestic league, but this season they are only fourth. Interestingly, Jurgen Seumel's side is the worst in the Bundesliga when it comes to home performances (1 win and 3 losses). In the Europa League, the Austrians have just 1 win in their last 7 matches.
I believe that the English club under Sean Dyche will soon begin to climb up the Premier League standings. They will also advance in the Europa League. Aside from their first European victory over Porto, Nottingham Forest came close to defeating Manchester United this past weekend, settling for a 2-2 draw. I expect the visitors to win in Austria, as even a Premier League underdog is noticeably stronger than one of the leaders of the Austrian championship.
My prediction – Nottingham Forest to win
