The Matchday 34 encounter in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Bochum will take place on May 17 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Bochum: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
In the previous round, the team shared the spoils with Eintracht in an away match (2-2), extending their winless streak in the league to four games (3 draws, 1 loss). However, this point virtually guaranteed Alexander Blessin's side their place in the Bundesliga: 16th-placed Heidenheim can catch up with St. Pauli, but the Hamburg side has a significantly better goal difference. A key role in this position has been played by the club's reliable defense, which has conceded only 39 goals, second only to Bayern's 32.
- St. Pauli has not scored more than one goal in 11 of their last 14 league matches.
- At home, the team has not won in 6 of their last 7 Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 3 losses).
- In 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament, Hamburg has conceded exactly 1 goal.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (4-3-3)
Ben Voll – Philipp Treu, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth, Manolis Saliakas – Lars Ritzka, Carlo Boukhalfa, Eric Smith – Oladapo Afolayan, Danel Sinani, Morgan Guilavogui.
Bochum
Dieter Hecking's side suffered a 1-4 home defeat to Mainz in the last round. This loss marked their sixth defeat in the last eight league matches (2 draws). Due to this poor run, Bochum bid farewell to the Bundesliga after four consecutive seasons. Additionally, the club has kept a clean sheet only 5 times in this tournament, with only three teams having fewer.
- The club has scored in 9 of their last 13 league matches.
- In 5 of their last 6 away games in the Bundesliga, Bochum has not conceded more than 2 goals.
- Away from home, the team has not won in 7 of their last 8 matches in this tournament (3 draws, 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for Bochum (3-5-2)
Timo Horn – Ivan Ordets, Tim Erman, Bernardo – Maximilian Wittek, Felix Passlack, Tom Krauss, Matus Bero, Ibrahima Cissoko – Philipp Hofmann, Georgios Masouras.
Forward Philipp Hofmann is injured.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 16 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 31%.
St. Pauli vs. Bochum: Match Prediction
The Hamburg side has not yet formally avoided the possibility of dropping into the relegation play-off zone. A draw would be enough for Alexander Blessin's team to avoid calculating goal difference. The team currently has no problems collecting points: St. Pauli has not lost in 7 of their last 9 league matches (2 wins, 5 draws), losing only to Bayern and Stuttgart in this span.
Bochum has had a poor spring, which will see the club play in a lower division next season. Dieter Hecking's side is on an 8-match winless streak in the Bundesliga, during which they have failed to overcome teams like Heidenheim, a fellow struggler in the table. The club has often suffered from poor finishing, scoring fewer goals than any team except St. Pauli.
Given Hamburg's solid defense and Bochum's scoring issues, it's unlikely this match will be high-scoring. My prediction: St. Pauli will not lose and Total under 3.5 goals
