The match of the 8th round of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Union Saint-Gilloise (Belgium) and Atalanta (Italy) will take place on 28 January at Lotto Park in Brussels. Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise found it difficult to offer any resistance to Bayern Munich in the previous round. The 0:2 defeat to Bayern Munich was the club's fifth loss in the 2025/26 Champions League group stage. Moreover, the team conceded at least two goals in those defeats. The club also failed to score for the first time in four previous Champions League games. Thanks to two wins, the team still have theoretical chances of fighting for a place in the play-offs, but those will disappear if points are dropped, as they trail the 24th place by two points.
- Goals in both halves occurred in 5 of Union Saint-Gilloise's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The club conceded at least twice in 5 of its last 6 matches in this competition.
- At home in the Champions League, the club have a run of four defeats.
Potential Union Saint-Gilloise Lineup (3-5-2)
Union Saint-Gilloise: Kjell Scherpen – Kevin Mac Allister, Kristian Bergjess, Ross Sykes – Guilherme Smith, Kamil van de Perre, Adem Zorgane, Anan Halili, Anuar Ait El-Hadj – Raoul Florucz, Ousainou N'Jie.
Forward Kevin Rodriguez is injured. Forward Promis David is suspended.
Atalanta
Atalanta's defeat to Athletic Club (2:3) in the previous round ended a five-match unbeaten run in the Champions League (4 wins, 1 draw). Moreover, the team scored at least two goals for the third consecutive match in the competition. Nevertheless, the team's scoring record is rather modest – 10 goals, and 21 clubs have a higher total. Although in the main standings the team occupy 13th place. A place in the play-offs has been secured; the chance to move into the top eight will disappear if they lose in the final round, while other scenarios depend on the results of rival matches.
- At least three goals were scored in 11 of Atalanta's last 13 Champions League matches.
- Away in this competition the team have not lost in 7 of their last 9 matches (5 wins, 2 draws).
- The club opened the scoring in 14 of their last 18 away Champions League matches.
Potential Atalanta Lineup (3-4-3)
Atalanta: Marco Carnesecchi – Odilon Kossounou, Onest Ahanor, Berat Djimsiti – Nicola Zalewski, Ederson, Marten de Roon, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Giacomo Raspadori.
Midfielder Raoul Bellanova is injured.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow/second-yellow (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow/second-yellow per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 25;
Penalties – 0%.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta: Match Prediction
Atalanta were one step away from setting a new club record for the length of an unbeaten run in the Champions League, but in the previous round the team, despite being favorites, unexpectedly lost at home. We do not think this was due to complacency from the players, who had already secured participation in the play-offs. An additional burden is unlikely to be welcome in the current circumstances, so Atalanta will try to secure a place in the top eight. Away in the Champions League Atalanta have shown good form, remaining unbeaten in 7 of their last 9 matches (5 wins, 2 draws), with one of the defeats coming against the reigning champions.
Union Saint-Gilloise still have only faint chances of continuing in the competition. The home side will go forward in the hope of gaining the much-needed three points. However, accomplishing this will be extremely difficult: at home the club have lost all three Champions League matches in 2025/26, conceding 11 goals in total. Overall the team have 17 goals against them, and only three opponents have a worse figure. Although Atalanta are not spectacular in attack, finding gaps in such a defence should not present problems for the visitors.
Prediction: Atalanta Draw No Bet + Over 1.5 goals
