The second leg of the 2025/26 Europa League round-of-16 tie between Roma (Italy) and Bologna (Italy) will take place on 19 March at the Olimpico in Rome. The first leg finished 1:1. Roma vs Bologna: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Roma
Roma conceded first in the previous match but managed to avoid defeat – 1:1. As a result, the club's unbeaten run in the Europa League has reached six matches (four wins, two draws). Their scoring streak has also grown to seven games. However, Roma have lacked reliability at the back: they have kept a clean sheet in only three of their last 13 matches in this tournament. To progress to the next round, Gian Piero Gasperini's side need to win the upcoming fixture. The club have also won seven of their previous nine home matches in the Europa League.
- No more than three goals have been scored in Roma's last nine games in this European competition.
- On home soil, the team have conceded in five of their previous six Europa League matches.
- Roma have scored at least twice in six of their last eight home games in the Europa League.
Potential Roma Lineup (3-5-2)*
Mile Svilar – Zeki Celik, Evan Ndicka, Daniele Ghilardi – Devyne Rensch, Bryan Cristante, Niccolo Pisilli, Wesley Franca, Neil El Aynaoui – Bryan Zaragoza, Donyell Malen.
Forwards Paulo Dybala, Artem Dovbyk, Matias Soule and Evan Ferguson will miss the match through injury.
Bologna
The draw in the previous match ended the club's run of three straight wins in the Europa League. Moreover, the defeat in matchday one of the league phase remains the only loss for Vincenzo Italiano's men in this tournament. The goal conceded against the Rome side was also the first they had allowed in their previous four Europa League matches. If the return leg ends level again, the opponents will have to play extra time. To avoid that, Bologna need to win. However, their visit to Rome in this season's Serie A ended in defeat for the club (0:1).
- The team have not conceded more than one goal in 13 of their previous 14 matches in international competition.
- Away from home in the Europa League, Bologna are on a four-match winning run.
- The club have scored in five of their last six away matches in European competition.
Potential Bologna Lineup (4-5-1)*
Lukasz Skorupski – Jhon Lucumi, Joao Mario, Juan Miranda, Nicolo Casale – Tommaso Pobega, Jonathan Rowe, Remo Freuler, Lewis Ferguson, Santiago Castro – Federico Bernardeschi.
Defender Juan Miranda is suspended.
Referee
Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 11 (international fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 18%.
Roma vs Bologna: Match Prediction
Bookmakers have installed the home side as favourites, but the form of Gian Piero Gasperini's men makes those prices questionable. The team have won only two of their last 10 official matches (five draws, three defeats), and those victories came only against Serie A relegation candidates. Roma are unlikely to have an easy ride against a solid Bologna side who, on top of that, are in good form.
Vincenzo Italiano's men have lost only once in official matches since mid-February (six wins, two draws), and they have kept a clean sheet in five games during that spell. That is another factor in favour of the visitors. Bologna have also won four straight away matches in the 2025/26 Europa League. The club have also fared well against Roma: the defeat in the first round of the league season remains their only loss across the last seven official head-to-head meetings (three wins, three draws).
Prediction: Bologna (+1)
* For each team, the starting XI listed is the lineup from their previous match in this tournament.
