Matchday 24 in the La Liga season sees Real Madrid take on Real Sociedad on 14 February at the Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid are in hot pursuit of leaders Barcelona. In the previous round, the away side claimed a 2:0 win at Valencia, extending their winning run in the league to seven matches. Notably, they have scored at least two goals in every game during that streak. In total, the club have registered 49 goals in the current La Liga campaign, with only Barcelona (63) scoring more. At the other end, Real Madrid share the title of the league’s tightest defence with Atletico Madrid, having conceded 18 goals since the start of the season. The club remain second in the table, just one point behind their main rival.
- Real Madrid have scored in 23 of their last 24 home matches in the Spanish league.
- Real Madrid’s uncompromising home run in this competition stands at 19 matches (17 wins, 2 defeats).
- At least two goals have been scored in Real Madrid’s last 11 La Liga matches.
Potential Real Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)*
Thibaut Courtois – Raul Asencio, Din Huijsen, David Jimenez, Alvaro Carreras – Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga – Gonzalo Garcia, Kylian Mbappe.
First-choice forward Vinicius Junior has served his suspension. Midfielder Jude Bellingham and defender Eder Militao will miss out through injury.
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad are closing in on the European places. Last weekend, the club beat Elche 3:1, making it four wins in their last five La Liga rounds. Their unbeaten run in the league has now reached seven matches (four wins, three draws), and both teams have scored in all seven. Since the appointment of Pellegrino Matarazzo as head coach, the Basque side have picked up 14 points from a possible 18, with only Barcelona (15) and Real Madrid (18) performing better over that stretch. As a result, Real Sociedad have climbed to eighth in the table and are just three points off sixth place.
- Real Sociedad have failed to keep a clean sheet in 17 straight La Liga matches.
- At least two goals have been scored in eight of the Basque side’s previous nine away matches in this competition.
- Real Sociedad have not conceded more than one goal in seven consecutive La Liga away games.
Potential Real Sociedad Lineup (4-4-2)*
Alejandro Remiro – Igor Zubeldia, Duje Caleta-Car, Alvaro Odriozola, Sergio Gomez – Jon Gorrotxategi, Goncalo Guedes, Carlos Soler, Pablo Marin – Luka Sucic, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Midfielder Brais Mendez is suspended. Due to fitness issues, midfielders Luka Sucic, Ander Barrenetxea, Arsen Zakharyan and Takefusa Kubo are not ready for the match, while goalkeeper Unai Marrero is also unavailable.
Referee
Francisco Hernandez (Spain)
Matches – 10 (La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 26;
Yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 50%.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Match Prediction
Real Madrid have not dropped a point in La Liga for two months, but more often than not their wins have been far from emphatic, typically by a one- or two-goal margin. During their current run, the club have only recorded one rout, which came at home against Real Betis (5:1). However, even looking strictly at home matches, Real Madrid have won by a wide margin in just two of their last 20 games.
Real Sociedad are also in good form. Since the winter break and the managerial change, the team have recorded four wins in their last six La Liga rounds, suffering no defeats. Including last year, their unbeaten run in the league stands at seven matches. It is telling that even in difficult spells, the Basque side have always stayed competitive and avoided heavy scorelines. Their most recent thrashing in La Liga dates back to May 2025.
The visitors are likely to make this a battle even as clear underdogs.
Prediction: Real Sociedad (+2)
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this competition.
