The Spanish Super Cup final between Real Madrid and Barcelona will take place on January 12 at the King Abdullah Sports City Stadium in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
Matches – 10 (La Liga and Copa del Rey, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 63;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 30%.
Predicted lineups for Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Antonio Rudiger, Ferland Mendy – Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga – Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo Goes – Kylian Mbappe.
Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Wojciech Szczesny – Pau Cubarsi, Jules Kounde, Inigo Martinez, Alex Balde – Marc Casado, Pedri – Gavi, Lamine Yamal, Raphinha Dias – Robert Lewandowski.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Real Madrid
This marks the sixth consecutive Spanish Super Cup with Real Madrid's participation, and the club is in the final for the fourth year in a row. To reach this stage, Carlo Ancelotti's side defeated Copa del Rey finalist Mallorca 3-0. Despite the emphatic scoreline, it took over an hour to break the resistance of the islanders. Notably, Real Madrid has won the tournament trophy 13 times, and a victory this year would equal Barcelona's record. Interestingly, in the previous edition, the capital club defeated the Catalans in the final with a 4-1 scoreline.
Defenders Daniel Carvajal and Eder Militao are sidelined due to injuries.
- In the last 12 Spanish Super Cup matches, Real Madrid has only lost twice in 90 minutes (6 wins and 4 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of Real Madrid's last 8 games in this tournament.
Barcelona
Like their opponents, the Catalans are participating in the tournament for the sixth consecutive time. In the previous edition, they lost to Real Madrid, but the season before, they defeated Real in the Spanish Super Cup final with a 3-1 scoreline. This will be Barcelona's 27th appearance in the tournament's final (14 wins and 12 losses), far surpassing Real, who, besides their 13 trophies, have only lost 6 times in the Spanish Super Cup final. Hans Flick's side reached this stage after a convincing 2-0 victory over Copa del Rey winners Athletic.
Goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen and midfielder Marc Bernal will miss the match due to injuries.
- In their last eight matches in this tournament, Barcelona has only lost once in regular time (3 wins and 4 draws).
- Both teams scored in 8 of Barcelona's last 10 games in the Spanish Super Cup.
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Match Prediction
This will be the third consecutive Spanish Super Cup final featuring these two clubs. The previous two finals were not only thrilling but also high-scoring, with the teams exchanging victories with scores of 4-1 and 1-3. I believe this match will be equally exciting, especially since both teams are almost at full strength.
All six previous encounters between these rivals across all three Spanish tournaments have followed this pattern. In four of them, both teams scored. Notably, in 10 of the last 11 Spanish Super Cup meetings between Madrid and the Catalans, there were at least three goals, and both clubs found the net. Furthermore, Barcelona and Real Madrid are the highest-scoring teams in the current La Liga, having scored a combined 94 goals after 19 rounds. Therefore, I confidently predict – Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score – yes
