The Matchday 23 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid will take place on February 8 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
Carlo Ancelotti's side suffered a shocking defeat to Espanyol (0-1) in the last round. Prior to that, the club had been unbeaten in six consecutive league matches, securing five wins and one draw. Notably, this was only the second time in the current La Liga season that the capital team failed to score. Real remains in the leading position, but their gap from Atletico has narrowed to a minimum, with Barcelona just four points away.
Defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal are sidelined due to injuries. Forward Kylian Mbappe and midfielder Jude Bellingham are doubtful for the match.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Real's last 8 La Liga games.
- The club has won 29 of their last 34 home league matches (4 draws and 1 loss).
- The team has kept a clean sheet in the first half in 11 of their last 13 home games in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Thibaut Courtois – Aurelien Tchouameni, Lucas Vazquez, Fran Garcia, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos – Vinicius Junior, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo Goes – Kylian Mbappe.
Atletico Madrid
The team ended a brief winless streak in La Liga, during which they lost to Leganes (0-1) and drew with Villarreal (1-1). In the last round, the Madrid side defeated Mallorca (2-0) at home. Thanks to Real's slip-up, Diego Simeone's side reduced the gap to their city rivals to just one point. Additionally, Atletico's defense remains the best in the league, having conceded only 14 goals.
Defender Robin Le Normand will miss the derby due to yellow card accumulation. Defender Javi Galan is out with an injury.
- No more than three goals have been scored in Atletico's last six La Liga matches.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final score in 8 of Atletico's last 9 away games in La Liga.
- The club has won the second half in 10 of their last 11 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Reinildo Mandava, Robin Le Normand, Marcos Llorente, Clement Lenglet – Pablo Barrios, Koke, Giuliano Simeone, Samuel Lino – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez.
Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
The upcoming derby is unlikely to be high-scoring, as the stakes are high, and any mistake could significantly diminish the chances of winning the league. Therefore, I expect both teams to focus primarily on defense, a strategy that Atletico excels at. Diego Simeone's side has conceded more than one goal only once in away games this La Liga season, while they have also failed to score more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the league.
Madrid derbies are generally low-scoring affairs. Three or more goals have been scored in only two of the last 11 head-to-head La Liga encounters. At the Santiago Bernabeu, neither team has scored more than two goals in the last nine league meetings. I believe this trend will continue, as even a single goal could decide the outcome. I think both teams will avoid taking risks and attacking with large numbers.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid
Celta
Real Betis
Athletic Bilbao
Girona
Las Palmas
Villarreal
Alavés
Getafe
Valencia
Leganés
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Sevilla
Barcelona
Mallorca
Osasuna
