The Matchday 21 clash in the Bundesliga between Leipzig and St. Pauli will take place on February 9 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. St. Pauli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leipzig
Marco Rose's side has become too peaceful: the draw in the last round with Union (0-0) marked the team's third consecutive stalemate in the league. The club's winless streak in this tournament has now reached four matches. Notably, the match against the Berliners was the first clean sheet for Leipzig in their last seven Bundesliga outings. In the overall standings, the team has climbed into the Champions League zone.
Midfielder Xaver Schlager will be out for several weeks due to injury.
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Leipzig's last 7 league matches.
- At home, the team has not lost in 15 of their last 16 Bundesliga encounters (10 wins, 5 draws).
- The club has conceded in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (3-5-2)
Peter Gulacsi – Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, El Chadaille Bitshiabu – David Raum, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Bote Baku, Xavi Simons – Lois Openda, Benjamin Sesko.
St. Pauli
Alexander Blessin's side shared points at home with Augsburg (1-1) in the last round. The Hamburg team remains unbeaten in three league matches (2 wins, 1 draw), marking their longest unbeaten run in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season. In the standings, St. Pauli remains in 13th place but has increased their lead over the relegation zone to 9 points.
In the team's infirmary are defenders Manolis Saliakas, Lars Ritzka, and forward Morgan Guilavogui.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of Hamburg's last 7 league matches.
- In this league, the team has not drawn away (4 wins, 6 losses).
- The number "2" has appeared in the final score in 5 of St. Pauli's last 7 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Manolis Saliakas – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Morgan Guilavogui.
Match Prediction: Leipzig vs. St. Pauli
Marco Rose's side has stumbled, yet in the upcoming match, Leipzig should secure points. At home, the team performs excellently, having not lost in 15 of their last 16 league matches (10 wins, 5 draws). Recently, the hosts have shown defensive issues, but their upcoming opponent has only scored 18 goals in the 2024/25 Bundesliga, with only two clubs faring worse in this regard, so Leipzig will likely not allow much at their end.
The Hamburg team, on the other hand, is strong in defense. St. Pauli rarely concedes more than one goal and has already kept 7 clean sheets under Alexander Blessin. In the first-round encounter, the team allowed nothing to Leipzig, who didn't even reach a goal according to xG. I think the guests will try to act similarly this time.
My prediction: Leipzig will not lose and Total under 3.5
