The Bundesliga matchday 27 fixture between RB Leipzig and TSG Hoffenheim will take place on 20 March at the Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig vs TSG Hoffenheim: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
RB Leipzig
Last matchday’s game against Stuttgart (0:1) brought an end to Ole Werner’s side’s good run — they had gone five matches unbeaten beforehand (three wins, two draws). What is more, that defeat not only prevented RB Leipzig from moving into the Champions League places, but also allowed Stuttgart to overtake them in the standings. It was also only the third time in the league this season that the team failed to score. As a result, RB Leipzig are fifth in the Bundesliga on 47 points, three points adrift of the top four.
At home in the 2025/26 season, the club have recorded eight wins (two draws, three defeats).
On their own ground, the team have scored in 35 straight league matches.
Both teams to score has landed in RB Leipzig’s last five home Bundesliga games.
Potential RB Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Maarten Vandevoordt – David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Willi Orban, Ridle Baku – Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald, Bryan Gruda – Antonio Nusa, Romulo Cruz, Yan Diomande.
Defender Kosta Nedeljkovic, goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and midfielders Assan Ouedraogo and Viggo Gebel are injured.
TSG Hoffenheim
In the last matchday, TSG Hoffenheim drew with Wolfsburg (1:1), meaning the team stayed third in the league on 50 points. However, they are only ahead of Stuttgart on tiebreakers. It is worth noting that in their last four matches the Sinsheim club have won just once (two draws, one defeat). That lone victory came against the side bottom of the table and among the three worst attacks in the league — and even then, the club conceded twice.
From 13 away games in the current season, the club have recorded seven wins (four draws, two defeats).
Both teams to score has landed in five of TSG Hoffenheim’s last seven league matches.
The team have scored in 10 of their last 11 Bundesliga games.
Potential TSG Hoffenheim Lineup (4-2-1-3)*
Oliver Baumann – Vladimir Coufal, Ozan Kabak, Robin Hranac, Bernardo Silva – Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger – Andrej Kramaric – Alexander Prass, Fisnik Asllani, Bazoumana Toure
Defenders Calvin Fress, Koki Machida and Valantin Jandre, as well as forward Adam Hlozek, will miss the match through injury.
RB Leipzig vs TSG Hoffenheim: Match Prediction
There are still plenty of matches left before the end of the season, so we cannot call this fixture decisive, but it is sure to have a major impact on where both sides finish. RB Leipzig’s home numbers are impressive: 29 goals scored in 13 matches — 2.23 per game. At the same time, the club have conceded 18 goals and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five home matches. More than that, across that spell the team have picked the ball out of their own net 12 times. On the other hand, RB Leipzig have failed to score at the Red Bull Arena only once since matchday 10 of the 2024/25 season.
TSG Hoffenheim, like their opponents, are strong in attack, and by some metrics look even better. In 26 matches of the 2025/26 season under Christian Ilzer, his players have scored 54 goals while conceding 34. Away from home, the team failed to score only twice, including against Borussia Dortmund. Meanwhile, in their last five away matches TSG Hoffenheim have consistently found the net, scoring 12 goals across that run.
The head-to-head record further underlines how entertaining this fixture tends to be. In the last five meetings, both teams scored, while at least three goals were scored in six of the last eight games, and there is a strong chance the next clash will be just as open.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes + Over 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI is the lineup from their previous match in this competition.
