The second leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025 quarter-final between Racing (Argentina) and Velez Sarsfield (Argentina) will take place on September 24 at the President Juan Domingo Peron Stadium in Avellaneda. The score of the first match was 1-0 in favor of Racing. Racing vs. Velez Sarsfield: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Racing
In the first match, Gustavo Costas' team secured a 1-0 away victory, marking their fifth win in the last six Copa Libertadores matches. Additionally, Racing managed to keep a clean sheet in four of those encounters. To advance to the next playoff round, the team needs to avoid defeat over 90 minutes. Notably, the club has not surpassed the quarter-final stage of the Copa Libertadores in the 21st century, with their last attempt in the 2022/23 season ending in a loss to Boca Juniors (0-0, 0-0, on penalties 1-4).
- The team has won 5 of their last 7 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.
- The club has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.
- Racing has scored in the second half in 10 of their last 11 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.
Predicted lineup for Racing (4-3-3)*
Facundo Cambeses – Franco Prado, Gabriel Rojas, Nazareno Colombo, Facundo Mura – Agustin Almendra, Santiago Sosa, Juan Nardoni – Santiago Solari Ferreira, Adrian Martinez, Gaston Martirena.
Velez Sarsfield
Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team lost the first leg, conceding the only goal in the second half while playing with a man down. Consequently, Velez Sarsfield failed to secure a win for the third time in their last four Copa Libertadores matches (2 draws, 1 loss). To progress to the next playoff round, the team needs to win by at least two goals over 90 minutes. A one-goal victory would lead to a penalty shootout. Notably, the club has only reached the Copa Libertadores semi-finals twice this century.
- The team has not lost in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the Copa Libertadores (3 wins, 4 draws).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Velez Sarsfield's last 7 away matches in this tournament.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of Velez Sarsfield's last 6 Copa Libertadores matches.
Predicted lineup for Velez Sarsfield (4-5-1)*
Tomas Marchiori – Emanuel Mammana, Jano Gordon, Lisandro Magallan, Elias Gomez – Tomas Galvan, Agustin Bouzat, Rodrigo Allendro, Imanol Machuca, Maer Carriso – Michael Santos.
Defenders Joaquin Garcia and Isaias Andrada, along with forward Brian Romero, will miss the match due to injuries. Defender Lisandro Magallan is suspended.
Referee
Esteban Ostojich (Uruguay)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 22%.
Racing vs. Velez Sarsfield: Match Prediction
Gustavo Costas' team managed to win away in the first leg and will likely aim to play cautiously at home to preserve their advantage. Racing is known for its solid defensive play: in their last seven home matches in the Copa Libertadores, they have conceded more than one goal only once, and in five of those games, they kept a clean sheet.
Velez Sarsfield could not break through Racing's defense even at home, and doing so away will be even more challenging. Moreover, the team has not been convincing in attack during away games: in their last seven away matches in the Copa Libertadores, they have scored more than one goal only once. Furthermore, in three of those games, Velez Sarsfield left the field without scoring.
I expect a strong defensive performance from the hosts, so my prediction: Velez Individual Total Under 1
* The starting lineup for each team in their previous match in this tournament is indicated.
