Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Europa League group stage between Qarabag (Azerbaijan) and Lyon (France) will take place on November 28 at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku. Qarabag vs. Lyon: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Nenad Minakovic (Serbia)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 0%.
Predicted lineups for Qarabag vs. Lyon
Qarabag (4-5-1): Mateusz Kochalski – Abbas Huseynov, Badavi Huseynov, Kevin Medina, Toral Bayramov – Patrick Andrade, Marko Jankovic, Aleksey Kashchuk, Abdellah Zoubir, Emmanuel Addai – Juninho.
Lyon (4-3-3): Remy Deschamps – Sael Kumbedi, Clinton Mata, Duje Caleta-Car, Abner – Tanner Tessmann, Warmed Omari, Maxence Caqueret – Said Benrahma, Georges Mikautadze, Gift Orban.
Each team’s lineup is based on their last match in this tournament.
Qarabag
The Azerbaijani club unexpectedly defeated Bodo/Glimt 2-1 away in their previous Europa League encounter, ending a run of four consecutive losses. This victory lifted Qarabag from the bottom of the group stage standings to 29th position. However, the team has yet to keep a clean sheet in this competition, having conceded in 12 consecutive matches. Qarabag's goal difference in this edition is 3:9.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in regular time in Qarabag's last 6 Europa League matches.
- The team has not won at home in 4 consecutive matches in this tournament (1 draw, 3 losses), conceding at least twice in each of these games.
- Qarabag has not scored more than once in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home Europa League matches.
Lyon
Lyon drew 2-2 with Hoffenheim in their last group stage match, marking their first draw in this phase. Previously, the team had recorded 2 wins and 1 loss in the Europa League. With these results, Lyon occupies 9th place in the second-tier European competition standings, trailing the leader by 5 points. Notably, the French team has scored twice as many goals as they have conceded (8:4). Additionally, Lyon has scored in 9 consecutive away matches in the Europa League.
- The team has avoided defeat in 12 of their last 14 Europa League matches, securing 8 victories.
- Lyon's unbeaten away run in the second-tier European competition stands at 9 matches (7 wins, 2 draws).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Lyon's last 6 away Europa League matches.
Qarabag vs. Lyon: Match Prediction
The club from Agdam pulled off a surprise victory against Bodo/Glimt in the last round, handing the Norwegian side their first defeat in the group stage of the Europa League. However, defensive issues persist for the Azerbaijani team. I am confident that against a potent opponent like Lyon, the hosts are unlikely to end their streak of conceding goals in the second-tier European competition.
Lyon ranks 4th among the most productive teams in the Europa League group stage, scoring 8 times. Additionally, the French club has found the net in 9 consecutive away matches in this tournament. In this season's Europa League, Lyon has scored at least 2 goals in both of their away games. Qarabag, on the other hand, has conceded at least twice in 7 of their last 8 Europa League matches.
Therefore, I believe the attacking visitors will score at least 2 goals. My prediction: Lyon individual total over 1.5
