The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League playoff between PSV (Netherlands) and Juventus (Italy) will take place on February 19 at the Philips Stadium in Eindhoven. The first match ended 2-1 in favor of Juventus. PSV vs. Juventus: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSV
Peter Bosz's side lost 1-2 away in the first leg, conceding the decisive goal late in the match. This defeat was only the team's third in the current Champions League campaign, with all losses occurring away from home. Moreover, the club scored fewer than two goals for only the second time in their last six matches in this tournament. To advance to the next round, the Dutch team needs to win by at least two goals in regular time. Notably, the club has reached the Champions League Round of 16 only once in the previous nine seasons.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last ten home matches in the Champions League (6 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 7 home matches in this European competition.
- At least one goal has been scored in the first half of PSV's last seven home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for PSV (4-3-3)
Walter Benítez – Adamo Nagalo, Richard Ledezma, Ryan Flamingo, Mauro Júnior – Jerdy Schouten, Joey Veerman, Ismael Saibari – Ivan Perišić, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Defenders Olivier Boscagli, Rick Karsdorp, and Sergiño Dest, midfielder Malik Tillman, and forwards Johan Bakayoko and Ricardo Pepi will miss the match due to injuries. The participation of defender Armando Obispo and midfielder Guus Til is questionable.
Juventus
Thiago Motta's side secured only their second win in seven recent Champions League matches (3 draws, 2 losses) in the first leg against PSV. Additionally, Juventus scored more than one goal for only the second time in this stretch. To advance to the next round, the team needs to avoid losing in regular time, and if they lose by one goal, extra time will be played. Notably, the Turin club last reached the Champions League Round of 16 in the 2022/23 season.
- The club has not won in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the Champions League (4 draws, 4 losses).
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 90 minutes in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this European competition.
- The Turin side has not scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Juventus (4-2-3-1)
Mattia Perin – Nicolò Savona, Renato Veiga, Federico Gatti, Timothy Weah – Teun Koopmeiners, Khéphren Thuram – Francisco Conceição, Weston McKennie, Nicolás González – Randal Kolo Muani.
Defenders Pierre Kalulu, Gleison Bremer, and Juan Cabal, midfielder Douglas Luiz, and forward Arkadiusz Milik will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Slavko Vinčić (Slovenia)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 11%.
PSV vs. Juventus: Match Prediction
The Dutch team performs confidently at home in European competitions and consistently challenges their opponents. Over the last 16 home matches in the Champions League, PSV has lost in regular time only once, securing nine victories in this period. In the current tournament, the team drew with Sporting at home and then consecutively defeated Girona, Shakhtar, and Liverpool.
Juventus often struggles to deliver their best in away matches on the European stage. In their last nine away matches in the Champions League, the club has managed just one victory, which came against Leipzig, who faltered in the current tournament. Additionally, in their last three away games, the Turin side scored only one goal and failed to find the net even against Brugge.
In my opinion, the Dutch team will be able to provide strong resistance to Juventus on their home turf. My prediction: PSV with a handicap (0)
