Matchday 6 of the group stage of the 2025/26 Champions League between PSV (Netherlands) and Atlético Madrid (Spain) will take place on December 9 at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven. PSV – Atlético Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSV
In the last round of the Champions League the team stunned Liverpool with a 4-1 away win. The victory at Anfield was PSV's biggest away success in the main stage of this European competition. The Dutch side extended their unbeaten run in the Champions League to four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). In the overall table the club moved up to 15th place, which would allow them to take part in the playoffs. PSV need two more points to move into the automatic qualification spots for the last 16. Notably, PSV's only defeat in this season's Champions League came at home, but overall the team has avoided defeat in 12 of their last 13 home matches in the group or main stage of European competition (8 wins, 4 draws). Also worth mentioning is their scoring form: PSV have netted 17 goals across their previous five home matches in the main stage of the Champions League.
- The club covered the handicap (+1.5) in 14 of their last 16 Champions League matches.
- PSV's uncompromising home streak in this competition spans 7 matches (5 wins, 2 defeats).
- At least 2 goals have been scored in 11 of the club's Champions League matches.
Projected PSV line-up (4-3-3)
Matej Kovarž – Anass Salah-Eddine, Jarek Gasiorowski, Jerdy Schouten, Sergino Dest – Joey Veerman, Paul Wanner, Mauro Junior – Dennis Man, Ismaël Saibari, Guus Til.
Forwards Alassane Pléa and Myron Boadu are recovering from injuries. Defender Mauro Junior and midfielder Ivan Perišić may return to the squad.
Atlético Madrid
The Spaniards began the Champions League with two defeats in their first three matches, but then rallied to win two consecutive games. By beating Inter and Union with a combined score of 5-2, Atlético improved their position in the overall table. The club currently sit 12th, one point shy of the top eight. Diego Simeone's side have tended to pick up points mainly at home; both of their away matches this season ended in defeat. Another worrying statistic for Atlético is that they have not kept a clean sheet yet in this tournament. However, historically the Madrid side do not perform worse against Dutch opposition: they are unbeaten in eight consecutive European matches versus clubs from the Netherlands (6 wins, 2 draws).
- Atlético have scored in 12 of their last 13 Champions League matches.
- The club's uncompromising run in this competition stands at 22 matches (15 wins, 7 defeats).
- At least 3 goals have been scored in all 5 of Atlético's matches so far this Champions League season.
Projected Atlético Madrid line-up (3-4-3)
Jan Oblak – Marc Pubill, Roben Le Norman, David Ganczko – Nahuel Molina, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Nicolás González – Antoine Griezmann, Giuliano Simeone, Julián Álvarez.
Defenders José María Giménez and Clément Lenglet, plus midfielders Marcos Llorente and Álex Baena, are unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 9 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 0%.
Match prediction: PSV – Atlético Madrid
PSV are known for their attacking philosophy and rarely sit deep, regardless of the opponent. The Dutch side seldom keep clean sheets but compensate with effective forward play. As a result, both teams have scored in all 11 of PSV's Champions League matches in 2025, and despite their attacking approach they have lost just three of those games. PSV are currently on a four-match unbeaten run in this competition (2 wins, 2 draws) and have avoided defeat in 12 of their last 14 home Champions League fixtures (8 wins, 4 draws); only two of those 14 home games ended without goals from both sides.
Atlético are also an expansive but somewhat unbalanced team — both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 Champions League matches. In this tournament the Simeone era has often meant alternating home wins with away losses: Atlético have lost three consecutive away matches in the Champions League and managed only four wins in their last 16 European away fixtures (2 draws, 10 defeats).
Prediction – PSV to win or draw + both teams to score – Yes
