Matchday 1 in Group D of Euro 2024. Poland vs Netherlands. The game kicks off on June 16 at 14:00 (BST) at the Volksparkstadion in Hamburg. Poland – Netherlands: Prediction and bet, odds, statistics for the Euro 2024 match.
Potential line-ups for Poland vs Netherlands
Poland (3-5-2): Wojciech Szczęsny – Jakub Kiwior, Paweł Dawidowicz, Jan Bednarek – Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zieliński, Bartosz Slisz, Jakub Piotrowski, Przemysław Frankowski – Krzysztof Piątek, Karol Świderski.
Netherlands (3-4-2-1): Bart Verbruggen – Nathan Aké, Virgil van Dijk, Stefan de Vrij – Daley Blind, Georginio Wijnaldum, Jerdy Schouten, Denzel Dumfries – Xavi Simons, Cody Gakpo – Wout Weghorst.
Poland
Poland failed to qualify for Euro 2024 directly from their group after finishing third. The side had to participate in the play-offs. Poland beat Estonia (5:1) and Walers (0:0, 5:5 on penalties). This is going to be the 5th consecutive continental tournament for Poland. The side failed to advance to the knockout stage on three occasions, the previous Euro edition inclusive.
Michał Probierz replaced Fernando Santos as head coach after several unsuccessful games in the qualifying tournament. Robert Lewandowski will miss the first game of the tournament due to an injury.
- A maximum of 2 goals have been scored in 12 out of the last 14 European Championship games Poland have played.
- There was number 1 in the score after regular time in 11 out of the last 13 European Championship games Poland have played.
- Poland have failed to win a game within 90 minutes in 12 out of their last 14 European Championship matches (7 draws, 5 defeats).
Netherlands
The Dutch national side won 6 of their 8 qualifying games, with 2 defeats. The finished second and qualified for Euro 2024. The previous edition was unsuccessful for the Netherlands as they were eliminated in the Round of 16 by Czech Republic (0:2). However, this time the national team is expecting a better result. They won their only European title exactly in Germany in 1988.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in regular time in 10 out of the last 12 official games the Netherlands have played.
- Netherlands haven’t lost a game within 90 minutes in 7 out of their last 9 official games (6 wins, 1 defeat).
- Netherlands have scored at least 2 goals in 9 out of their last 13 official games.
Poland vs Netherlands Prediction
The Dutch national team qualified for the final stage without any significant problems. They won 6 out of their 8 games, only failing to beat France. No surprise that betting sites believe that the Dutch are the favourites.
Poland performed poorly in their qualifying group, along with quite average sides. They lost 3 of their 8 games. These were the matches against Albania, Czech Republic and even Moldova, occupying 153rd place in the FIFA rankings. Besides, Poland have quite a poor record for the European Championships. In 2021, they lost 2 of their 3 games in the group stage (against Sweden and Slovakia).
The head-to-head games statistics proves a Dutch advantage, as the Netherlands have won 3 out of the last 4 official games they have played against Poland.
Our prediction is Netherlands to win at 1,55.
