The Matchday 7 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between PSG (France) and Manchester City (England) will take place on January 22 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. PSG vs. Manchester City: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Szymon Marciniak (Poland)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 36%.
Predicted lineups for PSG vs. Manchester City
PSG (4-1-2-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, Lucas Hernandez, Lucas Beraldo, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz – Senny Mayulu, Lee Kang-In – Bradley Barcola, Goncalo Ramos, Ousmane Dembele.
Manchester City (4-2-3-1): Stefan Ortega – Nathan Ake, Rico Lewis, Josko Gvardiol, Manuel Akanji – Mateo Kovacic, Bernardo Silva – Kevin De Bruyne, Phil Foden, Savio – Erling Haaland.
PSG
In the previous round, PSG secured only their second victory in this season's Champions League. After a four-match winless streak, where the French side suffered three losses and one draw, they defeated Salzburg away (3-0). Interestingly, PSG had conceded in 21 consecutive away matches in this European competition before this. Notably, this was the first time since October 2019 that the club won a group stage away match by a large margin. However, the team is still outside the playoff zone, trailing their closest opponent, who is in 24th place, by just one point.
According to Champions League regulations, forward Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will not be able to participate in PSG's remaining group stage matches. Defender Marquinhos and forward Ibrahima Mbaye will miss the match due to injuries.
- PSG has not won 6 of their last 8 matches in this European competition (1 draw and 5 losses).
- One of the teams failed to score in 6 of PSG's last 8 Champions League games.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 7 of the club's last 9 matches in this tournament.
Manchester City
The English side has failed to win in their last three Champions League group stage matches. During this spell, Manchester City drew at home with Feyenoord (3-3) and lost away to Sporting (1-4) and Juventus (0-2). This series has led to a drop in the standings to 22nd place. Pep Guardiola's team is only one point ahead of PSG. Notably, after losing to Juventus without scoring, the club ended their 10-match goal-scoring streak in away Champions League fixtures.
Midfielder Rodri Hernandez will miss the match due to injury.
- Manchester City has only won two of their last eight matches in this tournament in regular time (4 draws and 2 losses).
- Both teams scored in 8 of Manchester City's last 12 Champions League games.
- The English side has not trailed at halftime in their last six matches in this European competition (3 wins and 3 draws).
PSG vs. Manchester City: Match Prediction
These top clubs are in a similar situation in the Champions League. Both teams will significantly reduce their chances of advancing to the tournament's playoffs if they drop points in the upcoming match, so they will approach the game with maximum focus. I expect this to affect the match's scoring. I anticipate that the defenses will outshine the attacks, especially since both teams have been struggling with finishing.
In PSG's last eight matches in this tournament, no more than three goals have been scored. Furthermore, PSG themselves have not been impressive, scoring more than one goal only once in this period. The English side has scored just one goal in their last two away Champions League matches. Additionally, in the last five head-to-head encounters in this European competition, the teams have never scored more than three goals combined.
My prediction: Total under 3 goals