The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League semi-final between PSG (France) and Arsenal (England) will take place on May 7 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. The first match ended 1-0 in favor of PSG. PSG vs. Arsenal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians managed to break their winless run against Arsenal and secured a 1-0 victory over the Londoners in the first leg. The only goal was scored by Ousmane Dembele, marking his 25th goal across all competitions in 2025 – a feat unmatched by any other player in the top five European leagues. To reach the Champions League final, Luis Enrique's side needs to avoid defeat, having won 8 of their last 10 matches in the competition. If PSG loses by exactly one goal, extra time will be played.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of PSG's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The club has conceded in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament.
- On home soil, the French have not lost in 5 of their last 7 Champions League matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Désiré Doué.
Defender Presnel Kimpembe is injured.
Arsenal
The British side has struggled in semi-final matches, failing to win in their last 7 encounters at this stage across all competitions. Additionally, their 8-match scoring streak in the Champions League came to an end. To advance to the next round, Mikel Arteta's team needs to win by at least two goals. Notably, the team has won 7 of their last 9 Champions League matches, with 5 of those victories by the required margin. However, only 2 out of 13 clubs that lost at home in the first leg of a Champions League semi-final have reached the final.
- The British have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
- Arsenal is on a 4-match winning streak away from home in this tournament.
- In their last 6 away games in the Champions League, the Londoners have conceded exactly 1 goal.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Myles Lewis-Skelly, Ben White, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior – Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli, Mikel Merino.
Forwards Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus, midfielder Jorginho, and defenders Gabriel Magalhães and Takehiro Tomiyasu are out due to injuries. However, defender Riccardo Calafiori has returned to the squad.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 73;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.1;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 42%.
Match Prediction: PSG vs. Arsenal
In the first match, the Parisians scored an early goal but did not sit back, continuing to pressure the home defense. Luis Enrique's side could have both increased their lead and conceded several times. Arsenal also looked good in attack, and now the Londoners have no choice but to seek success in offense.
Prior to the last meeting, the British side had scored in 8 consecutive Champions League matches. In their last 4 away games in this tournament, Arsenal has scored a staggering 16 goals. However, the team has also conceded in their last 6 away Champions League matches. The Parisians have scored 17 goals in seven home games in the 2024/25 Champions League but have kept a clean sheet only twice in this stretch.
PSG will likely continue to play their style. It would be unusual to see defensive football from the Parisians in front of their home fans. Arsenal, on the other hand, needs a win, and generally, the British side rarely fails to score in two consecutive matches. I expect both teams to capitalize on more chances than they did in London.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
