The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League semi-final between PSG (France) and Arsenal (England) will take place on May 7 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. The first match ended 1-0 in favor of PSG. PSG vs. Arsenal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians managed to break their winless streak against Arsenal by securing a 1-0 victory in the first leg. The only goal was scored by Ousmane Dembele, who has now netted 25 goals across all competitions in 2025 – a feat unmatched by any other player in the top five European leagues. To reach the Champions League final, Luis Enrique's side only needs to avoid defeat, having won 8 of their last 10 Champions League matches. If PSG loses by exactly one goal, extra time will be played.
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of PSG's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The club has conceded in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament.
- At home, the French side has not lost in 5 of their last 7 Champions League matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Desire Doue.
Defender Presnel Kimpembe is injured.
Arsenal
The British side has struggled in semi-final matches, failing to win in their last 7 encounters at this stage across all competitions. Additionally, their 8-match goal-scoring streak in the Champions League was snapped. To advance to the next round, Mikel Arteta's side needs to win by at least two goals. Notably, the team has won 7 of their last 9 Champions League matches, achieving the necessary margin in 5 of those games. However, only 2 of 13 clubs that lost at home in the first leg of a Champions League semi-final have reached the final.
- The British team has scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
- Arsenal is on a 4-match winning streak away from home in this tournament.
- In their last 6 away games in the Champions League, the Londoners have conceded exactly 1 goal.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Miles Lewis-Skelly, Ben White, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior – Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Martin Odegaard – Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard.
Forwards Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus, midfielder Jorginho, as well as defenders Ricardo Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhaes, and Takehiro Tomiyasu will miss the game due to injuries.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 73;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.1;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 42%.
Match Prediction: PSG vs. Arsenal
In the first leg, the Parisians scored an early goal but did not retreat into defense, continuing to pressure the hosts' defense. Luis Enrique's team could have either increased their lead or conceded several times. Arsenal also looked strong in attack, and now the Londoners have no choice but to seek success in attack.
Before the previous match, the British side had scored in 8 consecutive Champions League games. In their last 4 away matches in this tournament, Arsenal has scored a staggering 16 goals. However, the team has also conceded in their last 6 away Champions League games. The Parisians have scored 17 goals in seven home games in the 2024/25 Champions League but have only kept a clean sheet twice during this period.
PSG is likely to continue with their attacking style. It would be surprising to see the Parisians play defensively in front of their home fans. Arsenal, on the other hand, needs a win, and in general, the British side rarely goes two games without scoring. I believe both teams will capitalize on more opportunities than they did in London.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
