The Matchday 4 clash of the Russian Cup 2025/26 between Orenburg and Rubin will take place on September 16 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Rubin: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
Vladimir Slishkovich's side suffered a 3-5 home defeat to Zenit in the last round. This loss marked their eighth in the last 10 Russian Cup matches (2 wins). However, it was the first time in the previous 20 matches in this tournament that Orenburg scored more than two goals. With 3 points, the club is at the bottom of Group A standings and has conceded the most goals in this group (8).
- The team has conceded in 9 of their last 10 games in the national Cup.
- In 5 of their previous 6 home matches in the Russian Cup, Orenburg scored at least twice.
- At home, the club has a 7-match uncompromising streak in this tournament (3 wins, 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (3-4-3)
Nikolay Sysuev – Alexey Tataev, Maxim Syshchenko, Nikolay Koserik – Georgy Zotov, Evgeny Bolotov, Stanislav Poroykov, Vladan Bubanja – Gedeon Guzina, Atsamaz Revazov, Du Queiroz.
Defender Stanislav Poroykov is suspended.
Rubin
In the last round, Rubin suffered a 0-2 away defeat to Akhmat. Rashid Rakhimov's side has lost 4 of their last 5 Russian Cup matches, scoring only in the match they won during this stretch. Moreover, Rubin has not scored more than once in 8 of their previous 9 games in this tournament. In Group A, the club is in 3rd place, ahead of their closest opponent only on additional criteria.
- At least one team failed to score in Rubin's last 14 national Cup matches.
- Rubin has lost 11 of their last 13 away matches in this tournament (2 wins).
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Rubin's last 7 away games in the Russian Cup.
Predicted lineup for Rubin (3-5-2)
Artur Nigmatullin – Alexey Gritsaenko, Nikola Cumic, Egor Teslenko – Alexander Zotov, Aleksandar Jukic, Ilya Rozhkov, Oleg Ivanov, Ruslan Bezrukov – Enri Mukba, Dardan Shabanhadzaj.
Defenders Denil Maldonado and Igor Vujacic are injured. Midfielder Anton Shvets has joined the team.
Referee
Pavel Shadykhanov (Russia)
Matches – 6 (Russian Cup, 2023/24 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 15;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.5;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 19;
Penalties – 17%.
Match Prediction: Orenburg vs. Rubin
In the first round of the current Russian Cup, Rubin defeated Orenburg 2-0. The opponents then met in the RPL at Orenburg's field and drew 2-2. I expect both teams to score this time as well. Rashid Rakhimov's team rarely scores away in the national Cup, but Vladimir Slishkovich's defense allows opponents many opportunities. However, Rubin has scored in 8 of their last 9 official head-to-head meetings with Orenburg.
Orenburg has already conceded 8 goals in the current Russian Cup, the worst record in the tournament. Furthermore, the club has kept a clean sheet in just one of their last 9 matches in this tournament, conceding 14 goals in their last 6 home games in the national Cup. Meanwhile, Orenburg is the second-highest scoring team in Group A and has scored in 6 of their last 7 home games in the Russian Cup.
My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
