The Matchday 28 clash in the Russian Premier League between Orenburg and Khimki will take place on May 10 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Khimki: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
In the previous round, Vladimir Slishkovich's side managed to secure a point in an away draw against Lokomotiv (1-1). Orenburg remains in the relegation zone of the standings, sitting in 15th place with 18 points. Additionally, the team has conceded 49 goals this season, making them one of the two worst clubs in this regard alongside Pari NN. It is worth noting that if Orenburg fails to win, they may be relegated to the First League prematurely.
- The club has not won in 10 of their last 12 home matches in the Premier League (4 draws, 6 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of their last 11 home matches in the league.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Orenburg's last 11 home games in the Premier League.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-5-1)
Bogdan Moskvichev – Maxim Sidorov, Artem Kasimov, Andrey Malykh, Danila Prokhin – Alexey Tataev, Dmitry Rybchinsky, Said Saharkhizan, Ivan Bashich, Emirjan Gyurlyuk – Brian Mansilla.
Midfielders Jimmy Marin and Gabriel Florentin will miss the match due to injuries. Goalkeeper Bogdan Moskvichev's participation is also in doubt. Forward Said Saharkhizan is suspended.
Khimki
In the last round, Magomed Adiev's team drew with Rostov at home (1-1). As a result, Khimki extended their winless streak in the league to five matches (2 draws, 3 losses). However, in 6 of their last 7 league matches, the team has not left the field without scoring. In the standings, the club has 25 points and occupies 12th place. Notably, Khimki needs to avoid defeat in this match to escape direct relegation to the First League.
- The club has not won in 11 of their last 12 away matches in the Premier League (3 draws, 8 losses).
- The team has not scored more than once in 8 of their last 9 away league matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Khimki's last 7 away games in the Premier League.
Predicted lineup for Khimki (4-5-1)
Nikita Kokarev – Dani Fernandez, Orinho, Georgy Dzhikia, Alexander Filin – Zelimkhan Bakaev, Lucas Vera, Alex Corredor, Robert Mejia, Ilya Berkovsky – Anton Zabolotny.
Defenders Edgardo Farinha and Diego Luna will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Yan Bobrovsky (Russia)
Matches – 7 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 30;
Penalties – 43%.
Match Prediction: Orenburg vs. Khimki
For the hosts, this match may be their last chance to cling to their Premier League status. Vladimir Slishkovich's side needs a victory – any other result leaves very slim chances of survival and could even send Orenburg to the First League prematurely. Therefore, expect the team to push forward, especially since they have been scoring regularly at home: in 9 of their last 11 home matches in the league, the players have found the net, scoring twice on five occasions. However, during this same period, Orenburg has only kept a clean sheet once, conceding a total of 20 goals.
Khimki is also motivated and unlikely to sit back in defense. Recently, even on the road, the club has been bold in attack, resulting in goals. In their last seven away matches in the Premier League, Khimki players failed to score only against Zenit and CSKA, who are the best teams in terms of goals conceded this season. At the same time, the club's defense is not reliable: in their last eight away matches in the Premier League, Khimki has conceded 19 goals.
I expect a high-scoring game, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
