The Matchday 9 clash in the Russian Premier League between Orenburg and Dynamo Moscow will take place on September 21 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Dynamo Moscow: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
Vladimir Slishkovich's side suffered a 1-3 defeat to Pari NN in the last round. In the current championship, Orenburg has only one victory (4 draws, 4 losses), and the team failed to score in only two matches during this period. However, Orenburg has conceded goals in their last 7 RPL matches, with a total of 13 goals against them, a record only better than three other teams. In the overall standings, Orenburg is in 13th place, but among the lower half of the table, they are one of the top two in terms of scoring (10 goals).
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Orenburg's last 6 RPL matches.
- The team has not won at home in 7 consecutive league matches (5 draws, 2 losses).
- In 8 of their last 9 home games in this tournament, the club conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-4-2)
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Artem Kasimov, Emil Tsenov, Henri Chichinadze, Fahd Moufi – Stepan Oganesyan, Irakli Kvekveskiri, Vladislav Kamilov, Du Queiroz – Emirdzhan Gyurlyuk, Jordi Thompson.
Dynamo Moscow
The derby with Spartak ended in a 2-2 draw for Valery Karpin's team. The Moscow club has failed to win 5 of their last 6 league matches (2 draws, 3 losses), and such results keep them in the lower half of the table. However, Dynamo has conceded only 9 goals, with only four teams boasting a more reliable defense. The team has yet to reach double-digit goals, although they have scored in 4 of their last 5 Premier League matches.
- Valery Karpin's side conceded first in 5 of their last 6 Premier League games.
- The club has not scored more than one goal in 10 of their last 11 away matches in this tournament.
- Dynamo has not lost to Orenburg in 5 of their last 6 league meetings (4 wins, 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Dynamo Moscow (4-3-3)
Andrey Lunev – Rubens Dias, Maksim Osipenko, Nicolas Marichal, Juan Caceres – Daniil Fomin, Danil Glebov, Bitello – Ivan Sergeev, Anton Miranchuk, Konstantin Tyukavin.
Injured players include defender Milan Majstorovic, forwards Yaroslav Gladyshev, Denis Makarov, and Artur Gomes, as well as midfielder Luis Chavez.
Referee
Sergey Tsygankov (Russia)
Matches – 6 (RPL, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 67%.
Orenburg vs. Dynamo Moscow: Match Prediction
Until the last round, Orenburg had not lost by more than one goal in the current championship. However, Nizhny Novgorod demonstrated exceptional finishing, which is among the worst for Vladimir Slishkovich's upcoming opponent. At home, Orenburg consistently picks up points, and when they do lose, it's usually by a narrow margin. Since last season, the team has lost 8 times at home in the RPL, but 6 of those defeats were by the smallest margin.
Both of Dynamo's victories in this championship have been at home. Away, Valery Karpin's team has dropped points even against Sochi and Makhachkala. Moreover, Dynamo has won only 1 of their last 11 away Premier League matches (5 draws, 5 losses).
Orenburg has not lost to Dynamo in 4 of their last 5 home league meetings, with their only defeat in this period being a 1-2 scoreline. Considering Dynamo's current form, the hosts should hold a positive handicap this time. My prediction: Orenburg with a handicap (+1)
