The FA Cup round-of-16 tie between Newcastle United and Manchester City will take place on 7 March at St James' Park. Newcastle United vs Manchester City: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Newcastle United
The team have played two rounds of the competition and faced Premier League opponents in both, with those sides sitting higher in the standings. First, Newcastle United managed to get past Bournemouth at home (2:2, aet 1:1, pens 7:6), and then they unexpectedly beat Aston Villa away 3:1. It is worth noting that the club have gone five straight FA Cup matches without losing in normal time (3 wins and 2 draws). In the 21st century, Newcastle United's best achievement was reaching the semi-finals in 2005. Last season, the team went out at the round-of-16 stage, losing to Brighton & Hove Albion (1:1, aet 0:1).
- Only Manchester City have beaten Newcastle United in normal time in their last nine matches in this competition (5 wins and 3 draws for Newcastle United).
- Both teams scored in the club's previous five FA Cup matches.
- On home soil, the team have failed to win five of their last six matches in this competition (3 draws and 2 defeats).
Potential Newcastle United Lineup (4-3-3)*
Aaron Ramsdale – Lewis Hall, Kieran Trippier, Dan Burn, Malik Thiaw – Sandro Tonali, William Osula, Jacob Ramsey – Harvey Barnes, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade.
Midfielder Jacob Ramsey is unavailable due to suspension.
Manchester City
Manchester City have had some luck with the draw so far, as they faced lower-division opposition in each of the previous two rounds, and played both ties at home. In their first round, the club thrashed Exeter City 10:1, before beating Salford City 2:0. We should also add that the team have won seven of their last eight matches in this competition. Manchester City won the FA Cup in 2023, after which they reached the final in each of the next two seasons, but lost to Manchester United and Crystal Palace.
- The team have won 18 of their last 20 matches in this competition (with the two defeats coming in finals).
- Manchester City have scored at least twice in seven of their last eight FA Cup games.
- Away from home in this competition, the visitors are on a nine-match winning streak.
Potential Manchester City Lineup (4-3-3)*
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Rayan Ait-Nouri, John Stones, Abdukodir Khusanov, Max Alleyn – Rico Lewis, Nico O'Reilly, Tijjani Reijnders – Rayan Cherki, Omar Marmoush, Phil Foden.
Referee
Sam Barrott (England)
Matches – 20 (the Premier League and English cups, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 68;
Yellow cards per game on average – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per game on average – 20;
Penalties – 25%.
Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Match Prediction
Manchester City, judging by the results, really love this competition, and have consistently reached the final in each of the last three seasons. We believe the team will also make it to the showpiece match of the FA Cup this year and challenge for the trophy. Manchester City have an excellent record in this competition and, when they do lose, it is only in the final.
The visitors' current form is also in their favour. After all, the club are continuing their chase of Arsenal in the Premier League, have reached the final of the EFL Cup, and will also face Real Madrid in the Champions League round of 16 next week. It is worth noting that in the last nine official matches, Manchester City have recorded nine wins and one draw. Newcastle United, meanwhile, have managed just one victory in their last six FA Cup home games. The club are also having a frankly disastrous season in the Premier League. In addition, Manchester City have won 14 of the last 18 head-to-head meetings across all English competitions.
Prediction: Manchester City to win
* For each team, the starting lineup listed is from their previous match in this competition.
