The Serie A Round 23 match between Napoli and Fiorentina will take place on 31 january at the Diego Armando Maradona stadium in Naples. Napoli vs Fiorentina: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Napoli
In the last round Napoli suffered a heavy away defeat to Juventus (0:3). It was the club's first loss in seven Serie A matches (3 wins, 3 draws), and it is worth noting that until this game the side had not conceded more than two goals in the current championship. At the same time the team failed to score for the sixth time this season. Nevertheless Napoli, with 31 goals scored, is among the six most prolific teams. In the main standings the home side sits fourth, nine points behind Inter.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of the club's last 8 Serie A games.
- At home Napoli has not lost in 21 league matches (15 wins, 6 draws).
- In 7 of the last 8 home matches in this competition the side did not concede more than one goal.
Potential Napoli Lineup (4-3-3)*
Napoli: Alex Meret – Alessandro Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Leonardo Spinazzola – Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Miguel Gutierrez – Antonio Vergara, Rasmus Hojlund, Elif Elmaz.
Goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, defender Amir Rrahmani, midfielders Billy Gilmour and Kevin De Bruyne, as well as forwards Matteo Politano and David Neres will miss the match due to injuries.
Fiorentina
In the last round Fiorentina saw their unbeaten run in the league, which lasted four matches (2 wins, 2 draws), come to an end when the side lost at home to Cagliari (1:2). At the same time the team conceded for the fourth consecutive match in this competition. The club has major defensive problems this season: just three clean sheets, the worst record in the league. After the setback in the previous round the side returned to the relegation zone, although the gap to the safety of 17th place is only one point.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the side's last 9 Serie A matches.
- Away in this competition the club has not won in 10 of the last 11 matches (5 draws, 5 losses).
- In 6 of the previous 8 away matches in the championship the team conceded at least two goals.
Potential Fiorentina Lineup (4-3-3)*
Fiorentina: David De Gea – Robin Gosens, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Dodo – Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Sher Ndour – Manor Solomon, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson.
Defenders Fabio Parisi and Tariq Lamptey, forward Moise Kean and Roberto Piccoli will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 9 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards (Including Second Yellows) – 33;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 3.7;
Direct Red Cards – 2;
Fouls Per Match – 28;
Penalties – 11%.
Napoli vs Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Napoli collapsed in the last round. The first heavy defeat of the current championship came just before a crucial Champions League tie that will decide Napoli's further participation in that competition. It is obvious that the side will expend a lot of energy and emotion in the Champions League, and they will come into the next Serie A round not at their best. Another factor that could negatively affect the side's results is the overcrowded injury list, which now includes the first-choice goalkeeper. In addition, the team has won 5 of their last 10 league matches (3 draws, 2 losses), but in three of those victories the margin was minimal.
During their unbeaten run Fiorentina managed to take points off Milan and Bologna, so the defeat to Cagliari looked unexpected. It is important to note that the team's previous three league defeats were by a single goal. Also, Fiorentina have lost on Napoli's ground with such a handicap in only one of their last eight head-to-head meetings in this competition. We believe the visitors have a good chance of holding the positive handicap now.
Prediction: Fiorentina (+1)
* The starting lineup for each team is shown from their previous match in this tournament.
