The Coppa Italia Round of 16 match between Napoli and Cagliari will take place on December 3 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples. Napoli vs. Cagliari: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
For Antonio Conte's side, this will be their first match in the current national cup. Interestingly, Napoli has not advanced past the Round of 16 in the last four seasons, and in the previous edition, they were eliminated at this stage by Lazio (1-3). In the Coppa Italia, the Neapolitans have not won in regular time in 7 of their last 8 matches (4 draws, 3 losses). Additionally, in 5 of their last 7 matches in the national cup, the club has conceded at least two goals in 90 minutes.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 11 of their last 12 home matches in the Coppa Italia (6 wins, 5 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament.
- The Neapolitans have not scored in the second half in 10 of their last 14 home matches in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (3-4-3)
Vanja Milinković-Savić – Alessandro Buongiorno, Amir Rrahmani, Sam Beukema – Mathias Olivera, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Giovanni Di Lorenzo – David Neres, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang.
Goalkeeper Alex Meret, defender Miguel Gutiérrez, midfielders André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, and Kevin De Bruyne, as well as forward Romelu Lukaku will miss the match due to injuries.
Cagliari
Fabio Pisacane's side has already overcome two opponents in the current Coppa Italia. First, Cagliari saw off Virtus Entella (1-1, on penalties 5-4), and then defeated Frosinone 4-1. Notably, both matches were played at home. The team has reached the Round of 16 for the third consecutive national cup but has not advanced beyond this stage since the 2005/06 season.
- The club has not won in their last seven away matches in the Coppa Italia (1 draw, 6 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament.
- The Sardinians have not scored more than once in their last seven away matches in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Cagliari (3-5-2)
Elia Caprile – Gabriele Zappa, Adam Obert, Sebastiano Luperto – Alessandro Deiola, Marco Palestra, Joseph Lieta, Michael Folorunsho, Michel Adopo – Gennaro Borrelli, Sebastiano Esposito.
Defender Yerry Mina and forward Andrea Belotti are unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
Matches – 13 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 15%.
Match Prediction: Napoli vs. Cagliari
The Neapolitans have not been at their best in the national cup for some time, so I expect the club to be highly motivated for this encounter. I anticipate an active performance from the hosts, especially given that Napoli has not had significant issues with scoring in the past. In their last eight home matches in this tournament, the team has scored a total of 16 goals. Furthermore, in 3 of their last 4 home meetings in Serie A, the Neapolitans have scored twice.
Cagliari has struggled away from home, suffering six losses in their last seven away matches in the Coppa Italia. The club's main issue is their weak defense: during this period, they have conceded 18 goals, with opponents scoring at least three goals in four of those matches. Additionally, in 6 of their last 7 league matches, Cagliari has conceded at least two goals.
I believe Antonio Conte's side will breach the visitors' defense at least twice. My prediction: Napoli Individual Total Over 1.5
