Matchday 13 in Ligue 1 will see Montpellier face Lille on December 1 at the Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier vs. Lille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Benoit Millot (France)
Matches – 5 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 40%.
Predicted lineups for Montpellier vs. Lille
Montpellier (4-5-1): Benjamin Lecomte – Enzo Chato Mbiayi, Nikola Maksimovic, Modibo Sagnan, Issiaga Sylla – Rabbi Njingula, Joris Chotard, Mousa Al-Tamari, Arnaud Nordin, Teji Savanier – Wahbi Khazri.
Lille (4-5-1): Lucas Chevalier – Gabriel Gudmundsson, Bafode Diakite, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Aissa Mandi – Benjamin Andre, Ayoub Bouaddi, Mitchel Bakker, Remy Cabella, Edon Zhegrova – Jonathan David.
Each team's starting lineup is based on their last match in this tournament.
Montpellier
The team suffered their ninth defeat of the current championship (2 wins, 1 draw), losing 0-1 to Saint-Etienne in the last round. Additionally, Montpellier has conceded in 18 consecutive Ligue 1 matches and is the worst defensive club this season with 32 goals against. Their attack is also struggling, having scored just 11 times in the current championship, with only Le Havre scoring less (10). It's no surprise that the team is at the bottom of the elite French division, trailing the safe 15th place by 4 points.
- Montpellier's uncompromising run in Ligue 1 stands at 11 matches (2 wins, 9 losses).
- The club has not scored more than once in 9 of their last 12 league games.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in the team's last 5 home matches in this tournament.
Lille
After two draws in the French championship, the club secured a victory by defeating Rennes 1-0 in their previous match. This result extended Lille's unbeaten run in Ligue 1 to 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws). Thanks to this successful streak, the team has climbed into the Champions League zone in the league standings, moving to 4th place. However, the gap from the leader is already significant – 10 points. Notably, Lille has conceded the fewest goals away from home this season in Ligue 1, with just 3 goals against.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 6 of the club's last 7 matches in the elite French division.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Lille's last 6 away games in Ligue 1.
- The team has scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the championship.
Montpellier vs. Lille: Match Prediction
Even a coaching change hasn't helped the hosts out of their crisis. Montpellier lost again in the last round, this time to one of their main rivals in the fight for survival – Saint-Etienne. Meanwhile, Lille is gaining momentum throughout the championship, currently on the second-longest active unbeaten run in Ligue 1 after PSG, having not lost in 8 matches. However, the hosts might benefit from the fact that the visitors have an additional European away match this week. Moreover, Lille is not as strong away as they are at home.
Therefore, I expect the motivated hosts, who have nowhere to retreat, to challenge the favorite. Montpellier has already put up a fight against their upcoming opponent in recent home head-to-head meetings in the championship, not losing by more than 1 goal in 5 of the last 6 matches.
I believe that this time too, a fatigued Lille is unlikely to win by a large margin. Therefore, my prediction is Montpellier with a handicap (+1.5)
Rennes
AS Saint-Étienne
Brest
Strasbourg
PSG
Nantes
Le Havre
Angers
Lyon
Nice
Toulouse
Auxerre
Marseille
Monaco
