The Round of 16 match of the Coupe de France between Marseille and Rennes will take place on 3 february at the Stade Vélodrome. Marseille vs Rennes: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Marseille
Marseille played its first two matches in the current Coupe de France campaign away against lower-league opponents and faced little resistance. First they beat Bourges Peronn 6:0, then they delighted supporters with nine unanswered goals against Baye. As a result, the club's unbeaten run in this competition has grown to 10 matches, in which the team recorded seven wins in regular time and three draws. Last season the team was eliminated at its first stage, losing to Lille in a penalty shootout (1:1, on penalties 4:5). Marseille last reached the final 10 years ago, where they lost to PSG (2:4).
- In the six previous matches in this competition the club conceded only two goals.
- At home Marseille have an 11-match unbeaten run in regular time in the Coupe de France (5 wins and 6 draws).
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 home games for Marseille in this cup.
Potential Marseille Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Marseille: Jeffrey de Lange – Benjamin Pavard, Michael Murillo, Facundo Medina, Emerson – Matt O'Riley, Hamed Traore – Mason Greenwood, Angel Gomes, Bilal Nadir – Amine Gouiri.
Midfielder Emerson will miss the match due to injury.
Rennes
Rennes progressed comfortably through the first two rounds of the tournament, successively beating two lower-league opponents. First they thrashed Le Sable 3:0 at home, then they won away at Chantilly 3:1. Last season the club exited the cup early, losing to Troyes 0:1. Rennes last won the Coupe de France in the 2018/19 season and since then reached the semifinals twice (in 2020 and 2024).
- The club scored at least three goals in 5 of its previous 7 matches in this competition.
- Rennes won 5 of their last 7 away games in the Coupe de France.
Potential Rennes Lineup (3-5-2)*
Rennes: Brice Samba – Antony Rouault, Jeremy Jakquet, Alidu Seidu – Mahdi Camara, Moussa Al-Tamari, Ludovic Blas, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin – Esteban Lepeol, Mohamed Meite.
Referee
Thomas Leonard (France)
Matches – 10 (Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France, 2025/26);
Yellow Cards (including second yellows) – 39;
Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 3.9;
Red Cards – 2;
Fouls Per Match – 25;
Penalties – 20%.
Marseille vs Rennes: Match Prediction
This is the central fixture in the Round of 16 of the Coupe de France. The opponents are both competing for a top-four finish this season. In this game we favor the hosts, who are slightly better in form, sit higher in the Ligue 1 table, and, of course, have a far better attacking record. Marseille score more than any other team in the current Ligue 1 season – an average of 2.3 goals – and it is thanks to their excellent attacking line that they should prevail in this matchup.
Marseille are unbeaten in their last three Ligue 1 matches, with two wins and one draw. Rennes, however, have failed to win in three consecutive league games, and in their last two matches they lost without scoring – to Lorient (0:2) and Monaco (0:4). The club is clearly in a small crisis, which the hosts will exploit. Moreover, Marseille have won 11 of their previous 14 home Ligue 1 matches (2 draws and 1 loss), and in the Coupe de France they have 5 wins and 3 draws in regular time in their last 8 home games.
Prediction: Marseille To Win
* For each team the starting lineup shown is from their previous match in this tournament.
