The Matchday 30 clash in Ligue 1 between Marseille and Montpellier will take place on April 19 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Montpellier: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
In the previous round, Marseille suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat to Monaco, a direct rival for the second spot in the championship. As a result, the club slipped to third place in the Ligue 1 standings, overtaken by their opponent. This loss marked the team's fourth defeat in their last five French league matches (1 win). Moreover, Marseille failed to keep a clean sheet in all these games, conceding at least twice in four of them.
- The club's uncompromising streak in Ligue 1 spans 11 matches (5 wins, 6 losses).
- The team has not scored more than two goals in 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Marseille's last 10 home league games.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (3-4-3)
Geronimo Rulli – Ulisses Garcia, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Amir Murillo – Quentin Merlin, Valentin Rongier, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Luis Henrique – Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood, Jonathan Rowe.
Montpellier
The club suffered their 10th consecutive defeat in Ligue 1, losing 0-2 to Angers in their last match. This is the longest current losing streak among all teams in the French championship. Montpellier remains at the bottom of the Ligue 1 table, increasingly distanced from the safe 15th place, with the gap now at 14 points. This is not the only unfortunate streak for Montpellier, as they have also conceded goals in their last 35 top-flight matches.
- The team has not scored in their last 7 Ligue 1 matches.
- Montpellier conceded at least twice in 8 of their last 10 league games.
- The club lost without scoring in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the French top division.
Predicted lineup for Montpellier (5-4-1)
Benjamin Lecomte – Wilfried Ndollo, Kiki Kouyaté, Becir Omeragic, Modibo Sagnan, Théo Sainte-Luce – Nicolas Peis, Jordan Ferri, Joris Chotard, Khalil Fayad – Tanguy Koulibaly.
Referee
Jérôme Brisard (France)
Matches – 15 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 40%.
Match Prediction: Marseille vs. Montpellier
The hosts are clearly not in their best form, as evidenced by their poor performance against Monaco in the last round. However, even in this state, Marseille should easily handle their upcoming opponent. Montpellier is experiencing a complete collapse this season, and even a managerial change before the last round did not help them out of the crisis. It is hard to find any positive aspect in the visitors' game.
Montpellier is the worst attacking team in the tournament, having scored only 21 times. In their last 7 league matches, they have not scored at all. Moreover, Montpellier's defense has significant issues, with their streak of conceding goals in Ligue 1 reaching 35 games. It is unlikely that the visitors will withstand an angry Marseille, who were beaten in a crucial match last round. Despite a challenging season, Marseille is not poor at home, having won 4 of their last 5 home league matches, scoring at least twice in each.
Therefore, my prediction is Marseille win and Individual Total Over 1.5 goals.
