The Matchday 31 clash in Ligue 1 between Marseille and Brest will take place on April 27 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Brest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
In the previous round, the club thrashed Montpellier 5-1, but this victory was only the second for Marseille in their last six Ligue 1 matches (4 losses). Despite the win, the team managed to concede a goal even against the tournament's hopeless outsider. Marseille has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six league games. Thanks to the victory over Montpellier, Marseille climbed back to second place in the Ligue 1 standings, overtaking Monaco. Notably, the team performs well at home, winning 5 of their last 6 league matches (1 loss).
- The club's uncompromising streak in Ligue 1 includes 12 matches (6 wins, 6 losses).
- At least 3 goals have been scored in 5 of Marseille's recent matches in this tournament.
- Marseille has scored at least twice in 5 of their last 6 home matches in the French championship.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (3-4-3)
Jerónimo Rulli – Ulisses Garcia, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Amir Murillo – Quentin Merlin, Valentin Rongier, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Luis Henrique – Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood, Amine Gouiri.
Brest
In the previous league match, Brest's five-match unbeaten run in this tournament (3 wins, 2 draws) was halted as they lost 1-3 to Lens. However, the team continues to score, extending their goal-scoring streak in Ligue 1 to four matches. As a result of the loss in the last round, Brest fell behind Lens in the standings, dropping to 9th place, with a 7-point gap from the European competition zone. Additionally, in the first round, Brest suffered a heavy 1-5 defeat to Marseille.
- The club has not lost in 11 of their last 14 league matches (7 wins, 4 draws).
- The team has scored in 12 of their last 14 encounters in the top French division.
- No fewer than 3 goals have been scored in 10 of Brest's last 14 away matches in Ligue 1.
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-5-1)
Marco Bizot – Massadio Haidara, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Brendan Chardonnet, Edimilson Fernandes – Pierre Lees-Melou, Hugo Magnetti, Mahdi Camara, Mathias Pereira Lage, Abdallah Sima – Ludovic Ajorque.
First-choice goalkeeper Marco Bizot will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Additionally, defender Abdoulaye Ndiaye is suspended.
Referee
Stéphanie Frappart (France)
Matches – 14 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 54;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 21%.
Marseille vs. Brest: Match Prediction
After the debacle against Monaco, where they lost 0-3, Marseille had no option but to secure points against the league's bottom team, which they did with ease last round. However, significant concerns remain about the hosts' defense. Marseille even conceded against the league's worst attacking team, Montpellier, who had not scored in seven consecutive league matches before facing Marseille.
Therefore, I doubt the hosts will keep a clean sheet against a more formidable attacking opponent. Brest has scored 48 goals this season in Ligue 1, surpassed only by clubs in the top six. Brest's current goal-scoring streak in the tournament is four matches, in three of which they scored at least twice. Brest has scored against Marseille in 9 of their last 10 league meetings. Moreover, in 8 of those encounters, the upcoming opponents exchanged goals.
I expect a similar scenario in this match. While Marseille struggles defensively, their attack remains potent. In terms of goals scored this season, the team is second only to Paris, having scored 62 times. Both teams have strong motivations in the standings and are compelled to play for victory, leading me to predict: Both teams to score – yes
