Matchday 4 of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Marseille (France) and Atalanta (Italy) will take place on November 5 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Atalanta: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
In the last round of the Champions League, the club suffered a disappointing defeat to Sporting, conceding the decisive goal at the very end. Overall, Marseille has lost 2 out of 3 matches in the current season of the tournament, but it's worth noting that both losses occurred away from home. The only home game for the French team ended in a resounding victory, as they thrashed Ajax 4-0. Roberto De Zerbi's side has been consistently scoring in each Champions League match, with their scoring streak extending to four games. However, it should be added that in their last seven encounters in this European competition, Marseille has kept a clean sheet only once. In the overall standings, the club is in 18th place.
- The team has lost 21 of their last 26 Champions League matches.
- Marseille's uncompromising run in this tournament spans 29 games (7 wins, 22 losses).
- Marseille has scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-2-3-1)
Geronimo Rulli – Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, CJ Egan-Riley, Amir Murillo – Matt O'Riley, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg – Mason Greenwood, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixao – Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Defender Emerson Palmieri is suspended. Due to injuries, defenders Facundo Medina and Leonardo Balerdi, midfielders Geoffrey Kondogbia and Timothy Weah, as well as forward Amine Gouiri are unavailable. Midfielder Bilal Nadir is doubtful for the match.
Atalanta
Like Marseille, Atalanta has secured only one victory in the first three rounds of the Champions League. However, after a heavy defeat in the away game against PSG, the team picked up 4 points in home matches against Club Brugge and Slavia Prague. In the standings, Ivan Juric's side is positioned just above their upcoming opponent. Notably, the Italians have won only 1 of their last 6 Champions League matches (2 draws, 3 losses), and before the last game against Slavia, the club failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 consecutive encounters in this European competition.
- Atalanta has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 17 of their last 19 Champions League games.
- The team has conceded in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament.
- The Italians have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 away Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti – Nicola Zalewski, Ederson, Mario Pasalic, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Nikola Krstovic, Ademola Lookman.
Defender Giorgio Scalvini will miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Jose Maria Sanchez (Spain)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 21%.
Marseille vs. Atalanta: Match Prediction
The opponents are not showing their best results in the Champions League, but regardless of the outcome, the teams consistently deliver thrilling matches. In all of Marseille's matches in the current season of the tournament, at least 3 goals have been scored, and this mark has been reached in 6 of Marseille's last 7 games in this European competition. Focusing strictly on home matches, it's noteworthy that fewer than 3 goals were scored in only 1 of Marseille's last 6 Champions League games.
Atalanta managed a goalless draw in the last round, but this is a rare exception to the rule. Before the match against Slavia, the team played 8 consecutive high-scoring games in the Champions League, with at least 4 goals in 6 of those 8 matches. Additionally, at least 3 goals were scored in 9 of Atalanta's last 10 away games in this European competition, and it often didn't stop at just 3 goals.
The prediction is – Total over 2.5 goals
