The match of the 22nd round of the Premier League between Manchester United and Manchester City will take place on 17 january at Old Trafford. Manchester United vs Manchester City: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Manchester United
Manchester United have gone four league matches without defeat. At the same time there was only one victory in that run, followed by three draws. In the last round the club visited Burnley and drew 2:2, and that was the first Premier League match without Ruben Amorim. The home side sit seventh, but are only three points off the Champions League places. Also note that the team have scored 36 goals, which is the third-best attacking record in the league.
- In the last 9 Premier League matches the club suffered only 1 defeat (3 wins and 5 draws).
- Both teams scored in 8 of Manchester United’s last 9 league matches.
- There was a draw at half-time in 8 of the last 10 home Premier League matches for the home side (2 defeats).
Potential Manchester United Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Senne Lammens – Aiden Heven, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw, Diogo Dalot – Manuel Ugarte, Casemiro – Mateus Cunha, Patrick Dorgu, Bruno Fernandes – Benjamin Sesko.
Michael Carrick will act as interim head coach until the summer. Defenders Matthijs de Ligt and Noussair Mazraoui are out with injuries.
Manchester City
Manchester City also drew each of their previous three league matches. After an away 0:0 with Sunderland, the visitors drew at home with Chelsea and Brighton (both 1:1). The visiting team are six points behind league leaders Arsenal. At the same time the unbeaten run for the visitors in the Premier League has grown to 9 matches, with 6 wins and 3 draws. Also note that the team remain the best in attack with 45 goals.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in 6 of the last 7 league matches for the visiting team.
- Away from home Manchester City have not lost in four consecutive Premier League matches (3 wins and 1 draw).
- The team did not concede in the first half in 7 of their last Premier League games.
Potential Manchester City Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Mateus Nunes, Abduqodir Khusanov, Nathan Aké, Max Ellini – Bernardo Silva, Nico Gonzalez – Jeremy Doku, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders – Erling Haaland.
Defenders John Stones, Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol, as well as midfielders Oscar Bobb and Mateo Kovacic, are unavailable due to injuries. Forward Omar Marmoush remains with his national team. Midfielder Savinho may miss the match due to an injury.
Referee
Anthony Taylor (England)
Matches – 17 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (including second yellows) – 65;
Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 3.8;
Red Cards Shown – 1;
Fouls Per Match On Average – 20;
Penalties – 18%.
Manchester United vs Manchester City: Match Prediction
Despite being close to the top four and enjoying a decent league run, the club’s management was not convinced by the current performances and dismissed Amorim. Without him the club not only drew with the relegation-threatened Burnley, but also lost in the FA Cup to Brighton (1:2). Curiously, Manchester United were eliminated from both domestic cups at the first stage for the first time since the 1981/82 season. The team clearly show signs of a crisis, and the carousel on the coaching bench will only harm the home side.
We expect the hosts not to win this derby. In addition, they are unlikely to be prolific. In their last five league matches Manchester United only scored more than one goal against Burnley. Manchester City kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 7 Premier League matches and conceded one goal in the other 3. Also note that in the last five head-to-head Premier League meetings at Old Trafford the visiting team kept clean sheets on 4 occasions.
Prediction: Manchester United Under 1
* For each team the starting lineup from its previous match in this competition is shown.
