The Matchday 3 Premier League clash between Manchester United and Burnley will take place on August 30 at Old Trafford. Manchester United vs. Burnley: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Manchester United
The Red Devils have only earned 1 point after two rounds. The club secured their first points of the new championship in the last match, drawing 1-1 away to Fulham. Prior to that, Ruben Amorim's side lost 0-1 at home to Arsenal. It's worth noting that in their last 11 Premier League matches, the team has managed just 1 win (3 draws and 7 losses). On Wednesday, the club played a match in the English League Cup's round of 32 and, for the first time in history, lost to a fourth-division side.
- No more than two goals were scored in Manchester United's last five Premier League matches.
- Manchester United failed to win in 5 of their last 6 home Premier League matches (2 draws and 3 losses).
- The team has not scored more than 1 goal in 5 of their last 6 home league games.
Predicted lineup for Manchester United (4-3-3)
Altay Bayindir – Leni Yoro, Matthijs de Ligt, Luke Shaw, Patrick Dorgu – Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes, Mason Mount – Bryan Mbeumo, Amad Diallo, Matheus Cunha.
Defenders Lisandro Martinez and Noussair Mazraoui are out due to injuries.
Burnley
Scott Parker's side had a poor start to the Premier League, losing 0-3 away to Tottenham. However, in their second match, the team bounced back, defeating Sunderland 2-0 at home. Prior to this, the club had not won in the Premier League for 5 matches (1 draw and 4 losses).
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in 6 of Burnley's last 8 league games.
- Both teams scored in 10 of Burnley's last 13 Premier League matches.
- The team has secured only 1 win in their last 11 away Premier League games (3 draws and 7 losses).
Predicted lineup for Burnley (4-4-2)
Martin Dubravka – Kyle Walker, Quillindsy Hartman, Maxime Esteve, Hjalmar Ekdal – Hannibal Mejbri, Josh Cullen, Lesley Ugochukwu, Jaidon Anthony – Lyle Foster, Jacob Bruun Larsen.
Referee
Samuel Barrott (England)
Matches – 24 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 112;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 21%.
Manchester United vs. Burnley: Match Prediction
Despite Manchester United's underwhelming performances, bookmakers continue to favor them, offering low odds on a home win. This presents an opportunity, as the visitors are not far behind today's Manchester United in terms of class or player selection. Even if Ruben Amorim's side wins this match, it is likely to be by a narrow margin.
In their last 9 home Premier League matches, Manchester United have only won once by a margin of two or more goals. Additionally, the club has scored more than 1 goal only 3 times in their last 12 home league games. Burnley may not impress away, but they have not lost by more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches. Furthermore, in the last 7 head-to-head meetings at Old Trafford in the Premier League, Manchester United have only 2 wins by a two-goal margin.
My prediction – Burnley with a handicap (+1.5)
