The Matchday 6 Premier League clash between Manchester City and Burnley will take place on September 27 at the Etihad Stadium. Manchester City vs. Burnley: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Manchester City
In the last round, Pep Guardiola's side drew 1-1 away to Arsenal. The Citizens have only one win in their last four league matches (1 draw, 2 losses). These results have increased their gap from league leaders Liverpool to 8 points. Manchester City remains consistent in terms of scoring, having netted 9 goals, a tally surpassed by only four other teams. However, they sit 9th in the overall standings.
- The team opened the scoring in 5 of their last 7 Premier League matches.
- At home in this tournament, Manchester City has won 6 of their last 7 league matches (1 loss).
- In 6 of their last 8 home Premier League games, the club scored at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Manchester City (3-5-2)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Abdulkodir Khusanov, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol – Nico O'Reilly, Tijani Reijnders, Rodri Hernandez, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden – Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.
Defenders Abdulkodir Khusanov and Rayan Ait-Nouri, midfielder Mateo Kovacic, and forwards Omar Marmoush and Rayan Cherki will miss the match due to injuries.
Burnley
Scott Parker's side drew 1-1 at home to Nottingham Forest in the last round. In the 2025/26 Premier League, the team has only one win (1 draw, 3 losses), and with 4 points, Burnley sits 16th in the standings. The club has conceded 9 goals, with only four teams having worse defensive records. However, Burnley has scored in 9 of their last 11 Premier League matches.
- The team has not conceded more than two goals in 5 of their last 7 Premier League matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of their last 12 away league matches.
- Burnley has scored in 6 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Burnley (4-3-3)
Martin Dubravka – Kyle Walker, Quilindschy Hartman, Maxime Esteve, Hjalmar Ekdal – Joshua Laurent, Josh Cullen, Florentino – Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster, Lume Chawna.
Referee
Robert Jones (England)
Matches – 25 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 103;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 24%.
Match Prediction: Manchester City vs. Burnley
In the upcoming match, Pep Guardiola's side is expected to secure three points. At home, the Citizens remain a formidable force, having won 6 of their last 7 league matches. Burnley is outmatched in terms of quality, and they approach this game on a three-match away losing streak, conceding 8 goals in the process.
The Mancunians, who have scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 home Premier League matches, are likely to capitalize on the visitors' defensive issues. However, Manchester City also lacks defensive reliability, having conceded in 6 of their last 9 home league matches. Therefore, a goal from the visitors should not be ruled out.
Additionally, Manchester City has defeated Burnley at home in their last 7 league meetings, with at least three goals scored in 6 of those games. This further supports the prediction of a Manchester City win and Total Over 2.5 goals.
