The Matchday 26 clash in the Bundesliga between Mainz and Freiburg will take place on March 15 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Freiburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
In the last round, the team defeated Borussia Monchengladbach away (3-1), securing their fourth consecutive victory in the league. Notably, Mainz has not had such a successful streak in the Bundesliga for over two years. Additionally, in all matches during this stretch, Bo Henriksen's side scored at least twice. Nevertheless, six clubs have scored more goals than Mainz in the 2024/25 Bundesliga. However, this fact likely doesn't upset the team, which has climbed to third place in the standings.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Bo Henriksen's last 7 Bundesliga matches.
- The club won 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Bundesliga (1 draw).
- In the last 8 home games in this tournament, Mainz has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Dominik Kohr, Moritz Jenz, Danny da Costa – Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci – Jonathan Burkardt, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung.
Defender Stefan Bell is injured.
Freiburg
After four consecutive victories in the league, the team played out goalless draws with Augsburg and Leipzig. During this period, Julian Schuster's side kept their goal intact in all matches. Thus, Freiburg achieved the longest clean sheet streak in the 2024/25 Bundesliga. However, four clubs from the top six have conceded fewer goals than Julian Schuster's team. Freiburg currently occupies fifth place in the overall standings.
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of the team's last 6 league matches.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the Bundesliga (3 draws, 5 losses).
- Freiburg has scored against their upcoming opponent in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Freiburg (4-5-1)
Noah Atubolu – Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter, Matthias Ginter, Kiliann Sildillia – Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Lucas Höler, Ritsu Doan, Ermedin Demirovic – Chikwubuike Adamu.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Freiburg
Both teams exhibit excellent defensive play, even though the Bundesliga is the most prolific among the top five European leagues. It would be surprising to expect a goal fest from such opponents. Moreover, this is not typical for their head-to-head encounters: no more than two goals were scored in 7 of the last 8 meetings in this tournament.
In the last five league matches, Mainz conceded only two goals. At home, Bo Henriksen's team has kept four consecutive clean sheets, marking the longest home clean sheet streak in the current Bundesliga season. Freiburg, in the last round, set their own record for time without conceding goals: Noah Atubolu has kept his goal intact for 577 minutes in the Bundesliga.
However, the teams appear modest in attack. Mainz is only seventh in scoring in the league. Freiburg has not scored more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches. Away in the league, Julian Schuster's side has managed to score at least two goals in just one of their last 16 games.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
