The Matchday 27 clash in the Russian Premier League between Lokomotiv and Orenburg will take place on May 3 at the RZD Arena in Moscow. Lokomotiv vs. Orenburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lokomotiv
In the previous round, Mikhail Galaktionov's team shared the points with Rostov in an away match (1-1). As a result, Lokomotiv failed to win for the ninth time in their last 11 league matches (5 draws, 4 losses). Additionally, in 8 of their last 10 Premier League games, they have not scored more than one goal. In the standings, the Moscow side has 45 points, placing them only in sixth position. Notably, the club has collected 29 points at home this season, second only to Krasnodar (30).
- The team has not lost in 8 of their last 9 home matches in the Premier League (6 wins, 2 draws).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of the club's last 8 home league games.
- The Moscow side has scored exactly one or two goals in 7 of their last 8 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Lokomotiv (4-5-1)
Anton Mitryushkin – Ilya Samoshnikov, Yegor Pogostnov, Gerzino Nyamsi, Alexander Silyanov – Vadim Rakov, Alexei Batrakov, Dmitry Barinov, Danila Godyaev, Sergey Pinyaev – Dmitry Vorobyov.
Defender Ilya Samoshnikov is out for the rest of the season.
Orenburg
Vladimir Slishkovich's side were weaker than Krylia Sovetov in their last round away game (0-2). This marks Orenburg's 17th defeat in the current league season, the worst record in the Premier League. However, the team failed to score only for the second time in their last seven RPL matches. Orenburg remains in the penultimate position in the standings with 17 points, trailing the playoff zone by six points. It's worth noting that Orenburg has conceded the most goals in the current championship (48).
- The team has not won in 23 of their last 24 away league matches (6 draws, 17 losses).
- The club has conceded exactly one or two goals in 7 of their last 9 away Premier League games.
- Orenburg has failed to score in 8 of their last 11 away RPL matches.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-5-1)
Bogdan Moskvichev – Maxim Sidorov, Maxim Syshchenko, Andrey Malykh, Danila Prokhin – Maxim Savelyev, Dmitry Rybchinsky, Yaroslav Mikhailov, Ivan Bashich, Emircan Gurluk – Brian Mansilla.
Defender Alexei Tataev and midfielder Gabriel Florentin will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Vasily Kazartsev (Russia)
Matches – 10 (RPL, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 20%.
Lokomotiv vs. Orenburg: Match Prediction
In recent home league matches, the Moscow side has not been convincing: in their last five games, Mikhail Galaktionov's team has only secured two victories, notably losing to Khimki and drawing with Akhmat during this stretch. The subpar results are primarily due to a decline in attacking play: in the first five home games of the current RPL season, Lokomotiv scored 11 goals, while in the last eight home encounters, they netted 12 times, only once scoring more than two goals.
Although Orenburg has not impressed with their away performances, they have not allowed their opponents to score too many. In 9 of their last 11 away Premier League matches, the club has not conceded more than two goals, and in six of those, they allowed a maximum of one goal. I do not believe the hosts, in their current state, can shine in attack, so my prediction: Lokomotiv Total under 2.5
