The match of the 20th matchday of the MIR Russian Premier League between Lokomotiv Moscow and Akhmat Grozny will take place on 9 March at the RZD Arena in Moscow. Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Lokomotiv Moscow
The capital club edged past Pari Nizhny Novgorod (2:1) at home last matchday, although it was far from straightforward. That was the team’s third consecutive win in the league, and their unbeaten run has now reached five matches. However, over this spell, Mikhail Galaktionov’s men have kept just one clean sheet. What is more, Lokomotiv Moscow have conceded in all but four Russian Premier League games in 2025/26 – a figure more typical of teams in the bottom half of the standings. Meanwhile, the Railwaymen sit third, three points behind leaders Krasnodar.
- Both teams scored in five of the Muscovites’ previous seven Premier League matches.
- On home soil, the team have not lost in 15 league games (8 wins, 7 draws).
- In their last five home matches in this competition, the club have not conceded more than one goal.
Potential Lokomotiv Moscow Lineup (4-3-3)
Anton Mitryushkin – Maksim Nenakhov, Lucas Fasson, Cesar Montes, Evgeny Morozov – Danil Prutsev, Artyom Karpukas, Zelimkhan Bakaev – Dmitry Vorobyev, Nikolay Komlichenko, Aleksey Batrakov.
Defender Aleksandr Silyanov is injured. Forward Aleksandr Rudenko is suspended.
Akhmat Grozny
The Grozny side managed to beat CSKA Moscow at home last matchday (1:0). The team have now won three consecutive league matches, and the last time Akhmat Grozny put together a longer winning run was in spring 2024. It is also worth noting two straight clean sheets, something that has happened to the club for the first time this season. In the standings, Stanislav Cherchesov’s men are seventh. We should add that the game against the Army Men was the Grozny side’s second-best for shots on target in this league campaign – 8 (4.4 on average).
- The team did not score more than one goal in five of their previous six Russian Premier League matches.
- Away from home, the Grozny side have not won 16 of their last 17 league matches (6 draws, 10 defeats).
- Akhmat Grozny have conceded in 13 straight away matches in the Russian Premier League.
Potential Akhmat Grozny Lineup (4-5-1)
Vadim Ulyanov – Klisman Tsake, Maksim Sidorov, Usman Ndong, Miroslav Bogosavac – Sergey Pryakhin, Brian Mansilla, Egash Kasintura, Maksim Samorodov, Lechi Sadulaev – Georgy Melkadze.
Midfielder Ismael Silva is suspended.
Referee
Pavel Kukuyan (Russia)
Matches – 7 (the Russian Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Yellow cards per match on average – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Fouls per match on average – 27;
Penalties – 29%.
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny: Match Prediction
We should not overstate the Grozny side’s success last matchday. Akhmat Grozny’s opponent played well below its usual level, but even in that situation still had chances to score. It is important to note that the visiting team put together their current winning run at home. Meanwhile, away from home in this league campaign, the club have managed to beat only Pari Nizhny Novgorod (3 draws, 5 defeats), and even against such a low-scoring opponent they could not keep a clean sheet.
Lokomotiv Moscow, meanwhile, remain unbeaten at home this season. In addition, the capital club have not lost to the visitors in six head-to-head Russian Premier League meetings (4 wins, 2 draws). It looks as though that run will continue. Their attacking output should help the home side claim a positive result: Lokomotiv Moscow have scored more than anyone else in the league, while the visiting team have not recorded a single away clean sheet.
Prediction: Lokomotiv Moscow, double chance + Over 1.5 goals
