Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Liverpool (England) and Real Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 27 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: François Letexier (France)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 27%.
Predicted lineups for Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Kostas Tsimikas, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk – Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister – Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Mohamed Salah – Darwin Nunez.
Real Madrid (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin – Ferland Mendy, Jesús Vallejo, Fran García, Antonio Rüdiger – Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Luka Modric – Kylian Mbappe, Endrick Felipe.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side confidently leads the Champions League group stage table. Liverpool is the only team yet to drop points. They have conceded just one goal, which came in the first match, where they defeated AC Milan away (3-1). Subsequently, the English side secured victories with clean sheets against Bologna (2-0), Leipzig (1-0), and Bayer Leverkusen (4-0). Notably, Luis Diaz scored a hat-trick in their last match against Leverkusen.
Forward Diogo Jota will miss the match due to injury.
- Liverpool has won 9 of their last 11 Champions League matches (with two losses to Real Madrid).
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Liverpool's last 8 games in this tournament.
- In 8 of Liverpool's last 11 home matches in the Champions League, the halftime score was a draw.
Real Madrid
In the last round, the Spaniards unexpectedly lost 1-3 at home to AC Milan. This was their second defeat in the group stage, having previously lost away to Lille (0-1). Real Madrid has only two victories, both secured at the Santiago Bernabéu against Stuttgart (3-1) and Borussia Dortmund (5-2). The team is currently in 18th place, three points behind the top eight.
Defenders David Alaba, Dani Carvajal, Lucas Vázquez, and Éder Militão, as well as midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni and forwards Rodrygo Goes and Vinícius Júnior, will not play due to injuries.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 Champions League matches.
- Real Madrid has not won the first half in their last six matches in this tournament (3 draws and 3 losses).
- Real Madrid has not lost in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 7 away Champions League matches (4 wins and 2 draws).
Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Liverpool is in excellent form. The team leads not only in the Champions League but also in the Premier League. However, despite Liverpool's strong performance this season, they have struggled against Real Madrid. In the last eight encounters in this European competition, Real Madrid has won seven times, with one draw. The goal difference in these meetings is 17-4 in favor of the Spaniards. Moreover, Liverpool has not scored more than one goal in any of these matches.
I believe bookmakers have been hasty in favoring the hosts in this match. I suggest that the visitors can at least avoid defeat in England. Real Madrid has more tournament motivation, as the team risks missing out on a direct spot in the round of 16, while Liverpool would be satisfied with a draw, allowing them to remain at the top of the table. Additionally, Liverpool's upcoming schedule is relatively easy, with no matches against top opponents.
My prediction: Real Madrid to win or draw