The match of matchday 8 of the group stage of the 2025/26 Champions League between Liverpool (England) and Qarabag FK (Azerbaijan) will take place on 28 january at Anfield. Liverpool vs Qarabag FK: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Liverpool
Liverpool's victory in the previous round over Marseille (3:0) was the club's fifth in the current edition of the competition (2 defeats), and the last three wins were all clean sheets. Nevertheless the home side have conceded 8 goals, a worse figure among the top eight only at PSG (10). At the same time the hosts have scored in eight consecutive Champions League matches. The club has already secured a place in the play-offs: in the main table it sits fourth, and a win in the final round will guarantee a top-8 finish.
- The club's uncompromising Champions League run stands at 28 matches (20 wins, 8 defeats).
- The team opened the scoring in 10 of their last 12 home matches in this competition.
- At home in the Champions League the hosts have failed to score more than two goals in 5 of their previous 6 matches.
Potential Liverpool Lineup (4-5-1)
Alisson – Wataru Endo, Andrew Robertson, Virgil van Dijk, Curtis Jones – Jeremie Frimpong, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz – Cody Gakpo.
Defenders Joe Gomez, Conor Bradley and forward Alexander Isak are injured. Defender Ibrahima Konaté will miss the match due to family reasons.
Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK's home victory in the previous round over Eintracht (3:2) allowed the club to end a four-match winless run in the Champions League (1 draw, 3 defeats). However, in their fifth consecutive match in this competition the visiting team conceded at least two goals. The club have 15 goals conceded in total, the worst figure among the first 24 clubs, on a par with Borussia. It should be noted that the team scored in 12 of their previous 13 Champions League matches. In the standings the side occupy 18th place. Chances of reaching the top 8 are virtually fanciful, but a win would guarantee a place in the play-offs. A draw could be enough if some rivals drop points, and even a defeat could suffice in the event of similar results from competitors.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Qarabag FK's last 10 Champions League matches.
- There was a goal in both halves in 5 of the team's last 7 away matches in the Champions League.
- Qarabag FK have not drawn in 16 away matches in this competition (9 wins, 7 defeats).
Potential Qarabag FK Lineup (4-5-1)
Mateusz Kochalski – Bahlul Mustafazade, Kevin Medina, Mateus Silva, Elvin Jafarguliyev – Marko Jankovic, Abdella Zubir, Leandro Andrade, Pedro Bicalho, Jony Montiel – Camilo Duran.
Midfielder Kadi is injured.
Referee
Ivan Kružliak (Slovakia)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Yellow cards per match on average – 5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match on average – 28;
Penalties – 33%.
Liverpool vs Qarabag FK: Match Prediction
The density in the top half of the table is quite high, so it is important for Liverpool to avoid dropping points in the upcoming game. The play-offs are secured, but extra matches are unlikely to tempt the club in an already busy schedule. We expect Liverpool to make every effort to secure a top-8 spot. Given the club's home results, that should not be difficult. The home side have won 9 of their last 12 home Champions League matches (3 defeats), and in only three of those matches did the team score fewer than two goals.
Qarabag FK collected 7 of their 10 points at home. In matchday 1 the team managed an away win over Benfica, but that is Qarabag FK's only away victory in the Champions League group stage. All other successes for the side were achieved in qualifying rounds. Nevertheless the team need points, so active attacking play should be expected. That aspect of their game is in order: in the main stage they failed to score only against Napoli, while in 5 matches the side scored at least twice.
Prediction: Liverpool win and Over 2.5 goals
