The second leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 between Liverpool (England) and PSG (France) will take place on March 11 at Anfield. The first leg ended with a 1-0 victory for Liverpool. Liverpool vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's team secured a narrow 1-0 victory in France. The English side has now won nine matches in this tournament (1 loss), keeping a clean sheet in six of those encounters. Interestingly, Liverpool has managed to defeat the reigning champions of Germany, Spain, France, and England without conceding a goal in this Champions League campaign. However, only Inter (1) and Arsenal (4) have conceded fewer goals than Liverpool (5).
- The club's goal-scoring streak in the Champions League spans 17 matches.
- At home, the English side has won 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches (1 loss).
- In their previous 10 home games in this tournament, Liverpool has scored at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)
Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate – Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister – Diogo Jota, Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz.
PSG
The loss in the first leg ended their five-match winning streak in the Champions League. Moreover, Luis Enrique's side suffered their first defeat in 23 official matches. To advance to the next round, the club needs to win by at least two goals. If PSG wins by exactly one goal, extra time will be played. However, it's worth noting that after losing the first leg of a Champions League knockout tie, the French team has only progressed 2 out of 9 times.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of PSG's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The team has not drawn in their last 8 away matches in this tournament (5 wins, 3 losses).
- PSG has not conceded more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Referee
Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 11%.
Match Prediction: Liverpool vs. PSG
Liverpool owes their victory in the first leg to luck and their goalkeeper. PSG dominated Liverpool but failed to convert any chances, forcing Alisson Becker to make 9 saves. The French side needs a win to advance, yet defeating the hosts at Anfield is a tall order. It's unlikely that Arne Slot's team will have two consecutive underwhelming performances.
At home, the English side has not lost in 9 of their last 10 Champions League matches (8 wins, 1 draw). Only Real Madrid managed to defeat Liverpool in this period. However, the Spanish club has been a nemesis for Liverpool, and the English side has experience successfully facing PSG.
PSG has a streak of three away wins in the Champions League, but the level of their opponents should be considered. In the knockout stages of this tournament, the French side has not impressed away from home: in the last three years, they have only beaten Barcelona among strong opponents. Luis Enrique's team impressed in the first leg, but they are unlikely to achieve more than a draw.
My prediction – Liverpool with a handicap (0)
