The second-leg quarter-final match of the Regional Path in the FONBET Russian Cup 2025/26 between Krylya Sovetov Samara and Orenburg will take place on 4 March at the Solidarnost Samara Arena. Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Orenburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara edged through the previous round, but not without difficulty. The match against KAMAZ ended level after 90 minutes (1:1), and only in the penalty shootout did Magomed Adiev's side manage to come out on top. It is worth noting that the home side have now gone six straight Russian Cup matches without a win in regulation time (4 draws, 2 defeats). At the same time, for the first time in their previous four matches in this competition, the club conceded fewer than two goals. What is more, the team have kept a clean sheet in just one of their last 25 games in the national cup.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Krylya Sovetov Samara's last 11 matches in the Russian Cup.
- At home in this competition, the club have not won in regulation time in 10 consecutive matches (4 draws, 6 defeats).
- The team conceded at least twice in 6 of their previous 7 matches in the national cup.
Potential Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineup (5-4-1)*
Sergey Pesjakov – Dominik Oroz, Sergey Bozhin, Thomas Galdames, Gonsalo Rekena, Dani Fernandes – Amir Rahmanovic, Sergey Babkin, Mikhailo Banjac, Fernando Costanza – Chinedu Jeffrey.
The home side will be without forwards Jimmy Marin and Aleksey Sutormin, as well as defender Nikolay Rasskazov, who are all sidelined through injury.
Orenburg
Orenburg dropped into the lower bracket of the tournament after a tie against Krasnodar that the players will surely want to forget as quickly as possible. A home defeat (1:3) was followed by a heavy 0:4 loss away from home. Overall, the away side have now lost three straight matches in the Russian Cup. Defensive issues have been clear as well: Orenburg conceded in 6 of their previous 8 matches in the national cup, and in four games during that spell they shipped at least three goals.
- The team have not scored more than one goal in their last five Russian Cup matches.
- Away from home in this competition, Orenburg have lost 6 of their last 7 matches (1 win).
- At least one of the teams failed to score in 6 of Orenburg's previous 8 away matches in the national cup.
Potential Orenburg Lineup (4-5-1)*
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Fahd Moufi, Emil Tsenov, John Palacios, Danila Vedernikov – Ruslan Kul, Damian Puebla, Tigran Avanesyan, Jordi Thompson, Emircan Gurluk – Maksim Savelyev.
Referee
Sergey Cheban (Russia)
Matches – 6 (the Russian Cup, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 19;
Yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 50%.
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Orenburg: Match Prediction
The two sides come into this one in very different moods after the resumption of the Russian Premier League. Orenburg beat Akron 2:0, while the home team were hammered 0:4 by Dynamo Moscow. It seems Ildar Akhmetzyanov managed to do some strong work during pre-season, whereas Krylya Sovetov Samara's problems have not gone away. The team are second from bottom for goals conceded in the Premier League, and in the national cup they have conceded at least two goals in 6 of their previous 7 home matches.
Orenburg will be motivated to restore some pride in the eyes of their supporters after the outcome of the tie against Krasnodar. Against Akron, the visitors looked lively going forward, and if Ildar Akhmetzyanov's men carry that same intent into this cup match, the hosts' unreliable defence may not hold up. Moreover, Orenburg have already found the net against Zenit and Krasnodar in this season's Russian Cup, and both of those sides are far stronger defensively than their next opponents.
Prediction: Orenburg, over 1 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match is listed.
