The Matchday 4 clash in the Russian Premier League between Krylia Sovetov and Baltika will take place on August 9 at the Solidarity Samara Arena. Krylia Sovetov vs. Baltika: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Krylia Sovetov
Under the guidance of Magomed Adiev, the team achieved a convincing 4-1 victory away against Rostov in the last round. At the start of the tournament, the Samara side has accumulated 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw), making them the closest challengers to the league leaders, Lokomotiv. Additionally, with 7 goals scored, Krylia Sovetov ranks among the top three highest-scoring clubs in the championship. However, the team has managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of their last seven RPL matches.
- Both teams have scored in 5 of Krylia Sovetov's last 7 Premier League games.
- Krylia Sovetov has scored in 5 of their last 6 home matches in this tournament.
- The club has not won in 5 of their last 7 league matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
Projected lineup for Krylia Sovetov (3-4-3)
Sergey Pesyakov – Dominik Oroz, Alexander Soldatenkov, Sergey Bozhin – Kirill Pechenin, Mihailo Banyats, Nikolay Rasskazov, Alexey Sutormin – Vadim Rakov, Amar Rahmanovich, Maxim Vityugov.
Forwards Vladislav Shitov and Vladimir Khubulov, as well as defender Ivan Lepsky, are sidelined. Midfielder Ilzat Akhmetov and defender Nikita Chernov have joined the squad.
Baltika
The Kaliningrad side has matched the record start for RPL newcomers. In three rounds, Andrey Talalaev's team has earned 7 points, drawing with Dynamo (1-1) and defeating Spartak (3-2) and Orenburg (3-2). Notably, in their previous Premier League season, Baltika never managed a three-match unbeaten streak. The team has been scoring in the championship for 11 consecutive matches. In the league standings, the club is currently in 3rd place.
- The Kaliningrad side has conceded in 11 of their last 12 RPL games.
- Away from home, Baltika has not won in 4 of their last 5 league matches (1 draw, 3 losses).
- At least one goal has been scored in both halves in 5 of the club's last 7 Premier League matches.
Projected lineup for Baltika (4-5-1)
Maxim Borisko – Sergey Varatynov, Kevin Andrade, Nathan Gassama, Mingiyan Beveev – Vladislav Saus, Andrey Mendel, Ilya Petrov, Nikolay Titkov, Maxim Petrov – Brian Hill.
Referee
Rafael Shafeev (Russia)
Matches – 8 (RPL, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 38%.
Krylia Sovetov vs. Baltika: Match Prediction
Both teams have been quite prolific at the start of the championship, each securing a significant victory, and Baltika's scoring streak in the RPL spans 11 matches. Meanwhile, Krylia Sovetov has only failed to score against Spartak in their last 12 Premier League outings. However, both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities. Krylia Sovetov has conceded in 8 of their last 10 home games in this tournament. While Andrey Talalaev's side was known for its defense in the First League, maintaining that level in the RPL will be challenging.
In terms of the outcome, my preference leans towards the visitors. Baltika's pragmatic approach allows them to earn points even against strong opponents, as demonstrated in matches against Spartak and Dynamo. Krylia Sovetov has benefited from a favorable schedule, securing two wins against tournament outsiders. The Kaliningrad side will not be as accommodating.
My prediction: Baltika will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
