The Matchday 1 clash of the FONBET Russian Cup 2025/26 between Krasnodar and Krylia Sovetov will take place on July 29 at the Ozon Arena. Krasnodar vs. Krylia Sovetov: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Krasnodar
In the previous tournament, Krasnodar finished third in Group C. Murad Musaev's side showed uncompromising results, achieving 3 wins and suffering 3 losses. The team scored only 4 goals, with only Fakel having a worse record (2) among all group stage participants. In the playoffs, Krasnodar reached the second stage of the Regional Path, where they lost to Akhmat. Notably, in the 2022/23 season, the club reached the final of the national cup.
- The team has lost 4 of their last 5 matches in the Russian Cup (1 draw).
- Krasnodar has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 8 home games in this tournament.
- At home, the club has opened the scoring in 4 of their last 5 national cup games.
Predicted lineup for Krasnodar (4-3-3)
Stanislav Agkatsev – Lucas Olaza, Diego Costa, Vitor Tormena, Sergey Petrov – Eduard Spertsyan, Alexander Chernikov, Nikita Krivtsov – Victor Sa, John Cordoba, Joao Bachi.
Krylia Sovetov
In the previous national cup tournament, Samara's team finished last in Group A. They lost 5 matches, and their only victory came in a penalty shootout. With just two points, Krylia Sovetov was the worst team in the entire group stage. Notably, they conceded the most goals – 22. Additionally, the previous year, Samara also failed to progress past the group stage.
- The team has not won in regular time in 8 Russian Cup matches (1 draw, 7 losses).
- Krylia Sovetov scored in 5 of their last 7 away games in this tournament.
- At least three goals were scored in 5 of Krylia Sovetov's last 7 away matches in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Krylia Sovetov (4-5-1)
Sergey Pesyakov – Dominik Oroz, Ivan Lepsky, Kirill Pechenin, Sergey Bozhin – Amar Rahmanovich, Vladimir Khubulov, Sergey Babkin, Fernando Costanza, Alexey Sutormin – Vadim Rakov.
Forward Vladislav Shitov is injured.
Referee
Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
Matches – 9 (Russian Cup, 2023/24 - 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 33%.
Krasnodar vs. Krylia Sovetov: Match Prediction
Murad Musaev utilized squad rotation in the previous Russian Cup tournament. I believe the head coach will stick to this approach in the new season, especially with an upcoming league match against Dynamo Moscow, which promises to be challenging. It's crucial to approach it in good physical condition and avoid injuries. Notably, Krasnodar has conceded in 6 consecutive matches in the national cup.
Samara can be pleased with their start to the season. Magomed Adiev's side has collected 4 out of a possible 6 points, scoring three goals. Although they failed in the last Russian Cup, Krylia Sovetov scored 8 times, a feat not achieved by all playoff participants. I believe the in-form Samara team will find ways to breach their opponent's defense, especially as they have scored against Krasnodar in 7 of their last 9 official matches.
My prediction: Krylia Sovetov individual total over 0.5
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match.
