The Matchday 11 clash in the MIR RPL between Krasnodar and Akhmat will take place on October 4 at the Ozon Arena. Krasnodar vs. Akhmat: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Krasnodar
Murad Musayev's side drew 0-0 away with Rostov in the last round. In their last four Premier League matches, the team has secured only one victory (2 draws, 1 loss), a stretch that has cost them the top spot in the league. However, they are just one point behind the leaders. Notably, the club failed to score in two consecutive RPL matches for the first time since December 2024. Despite this, Krasnodar kept a clean sheet for the fifth time this season, matching Baltika in this regard.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 12 of Krasnodar's last 14 Premier League matches.
- The team has won 8 of their last 10 home games in this tournament (2 losses).
- The club has conceded in 6 of their last 8 home RPL matches.
Predicted lineup for Krasnodar (4-5-1)
Stanislav Agkatsev – Diego Costa, Vitor Tormena, Sergey Petrov, Lucas Olaza – Eduard Spertsyan, João Bachi, Gaetan Perrin, Nikita Krivtsov, Douglas Augusto – John Cordoba.
Midfielder Alexander Chernikov, defender Jubal, and forwards Moses Kobnan, Gustavo Furtado are injured.
Akhmat
In the last round, the team thrashed Akron 3-0 at home. The Grozny side is unbeaten in seven league matches (4 wins, 3 draws), and Stanislav Cherchesov became the first Akhmat coach to earn points in seven consecutive games after being appointed. Notably, the match against Tolyatti was the club's best of the season in terms of shots on target – 9 (average 4.7). The team also kept a clean sheet for only the second time in the RPL 2025/26. In the standings, the Grozny side climbed to 8th place.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Akhmat's last 6 Premier League matches.
- The club has not won in 12 of their last 13 away matches in the league (5 draws, 7 losses).
- In 10 of their last 13 away games in this tournament, the team has not scored more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Akhmat (4-5-1)
Giorgi Shelia – Usman Ndong, Maksim Sidorov, Miroslav Bogosavac, Nader Ghandri – Manuel Kalilano, Ismael Silva, Egas Cacintura, Brian Mansilla, Lechi Sadulaev – Georgy Melkadze.
Referee
Inal Tanashev (Russia)
Matches – 5 (RPL, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 0%.
Match Prediction for Krasnodar vs. Akhmat
Despite having only one win in their last four league matches, it's hard to say Krasnodar is in decline. Musayev's side has faced CSKA and Zenit during this stretch, and Rostov is also improving. Only Akron managed to defeat Krasnodar, and that was by a narrow margin. In terms of the title race, nothing disastrous has happened, but such results could negatively impact the team's morale. It's worth noting that in the RPL 2025/26, Krasnodar's two of their three big wins came against Sochi and Pari NN, both in the relegation zone.
The Grozny side has not lost in the Premier League for almost two months. It's safe to say Stanislav Cherchesov has done a good job. All streaks end eventually, but I'm confident Akhmat will put up a fight against the defending champions. The team has performed well against Krasnodar, remaining unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 RPL meetings (2 wins, 4 draws). The bookmaker offers a positive handicap on the visitors, which I recommend taking advantage of.
My prediction: Akhmat with a handicap (+1.5)
