The Matchday 25 Bundesliga clash between Koln and Borussia Dortmund will take place on 7 March at the RheinEnergieStadion. Koln vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Koln
The defeat to Augsburg in the previous round (0:2) was Koln's fourth in their last three matches and their 12th of the current season (six wins, six draws). Due to difficulties in picking up points, the team are facing the threat of relegation from the Bundesliga. So far it is not critical, but the situation needs to be corrected in the near future. After 24 rounds, Lukas Kwasniok's side have 24 points, 33 goals scored and 41 conceded. At the same time, 33 goals is the best record among clubs in the bottom half of the table. This is also confirmed by the fact that the home team have found the net in eight of their last nine league games.
Both teams scored in seven of Koln's previous nine Bundesliga matches.
In 12 home games of the 2025/26 season, the club have recorded four wins (three draws, five defeats).
In 17 of their last 18 Bundesliga matches, Koln have conceded at least one goal.
Potential Koln Lineup (3-4-3)*
Marvin Schwabe – Sebastian Sebulonsen, Cenk Ozkacar, Kristoffer Lunn Hansen – Pascal Schmidt, Jan Thielmann, Tom Krauss, Eric Martel – Marius Bulter, Jakub Kaminski, Ragnar Ache.
Defenders Luca-Jannis Kilian, Timo Hubers and Dimitrios Giannoulis will miss the game through injury.
Borussia Dortmund
Perhaps the last-round match proved decisive in many ways for Borussia Dortmund. The team under Niko Kovac lost to their direct title rival Bayern Munich (2:3). As of today, the club sit second in the German top flight on 52 points, 11 behind the Munich side. It is worth noting that the away team lost for the first time in their previous 17 Bundesliga fixtures (11 wins, five draws) and, for only the fourth time this season, conceded more than two goals.
In 12 away matches in the current league campaign, Borussia Dortmund have recorded six wins (five draws, one defeat).
At least three goals have been scored in Borussia Dortmund's last nine Bundesliga matches.
The team have scored in 32 consecutive matches in this competition.
Potential Borussia Dortmund Lineup (3-5-2)*
Gregor Kobel – Luca Reggiani, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer, Daniel Svensson, Julian Ryerson – Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.
Defenders Filippo Mane and Niklas Sule are injured.
Referee
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches – 12 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 33%.
Koln vs Borussia Dortmund: Match Prediction
Despite second place in the Bundesliga, which Borussia Dortmund still occupy and will most likely keep until the end of the season, it is hard to call this year a successful one. Borussia Dortmund have been knocked out of the German Cup and have ended their Champions League campaign. It is unclear how the team will respond to these circumstances, but given that Borussia Dortmund have scored in every league match, we are confident they will not leave the pitch without a goal in the upcoming fixture.
Unlike Borussia Dortmund, Koln arguably have more motivation. Firstly, the team played in the 2. Bundesliga last season and clearly have no intention of returning there. Secondly, their current position in the standings obliges them to take points: in the last five rounds, Koln have managed just one win (one draw, four defeats). Obviously, it is difficult to get a result without scoring, and given that Lukas Kwasniok's side have failed to score in only one home match in the 2025/26 season, it is perfectly logical to expect goals at both ends.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting XI listed is the lineup from their previous match in this competition.