The Matchday 6 group-stage fixture of the 2025/26 Champions League between Kairat (Kazakhstan) and Olympiacos (Greece) will take place on December 9 at the Astana Arena. Kairat – Olympiacos: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Kairat
Rafael Urazbakhtin's side came close to overturning a three-goal deficit against Copenhagen in the last round but ultimately fell 2-3. That marked Kairat's fourth defeat in the group stage, and their winless run — counting qualifying — has stretched to eight matches. However, the Kazakh outfit have shown improved attacking intent across their last three games in this competition, and the recent 2-3 result was the first time the club had scored more than one goal after a run of nine matches. In the standings the team sits 35th, five points adrift of the play-off places.
- At least three goals were scored in 4 of Kairat's last 5 Champions League matches.
- At home, the Kazakhs are unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 CL matches (5 wins, 2 draws).
- Kairat kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 home matches in this competition.
Predicted Kairat line-up (4-3-3)
Temirlan Anarbekov – Aleksandr Martynovich, Yegor Sorokin, Aleksandr Mrynsky, Yerkin Tapalov – Valeriy Gromyko, Dan Glazer, Luis Mata – Damir Kasabulat, Jorginho Costa, Olzhas Baybek.
Defender Ofri Arad is injured. Forward Dastan Satpaev is suspended. Goalkeeper Aleksandr Zarutsky has left the club.
Olympiacos
The Greeks scored at least three goals in a Champions League game for the first time since 2019 but still came up short against Real Madrid, losing 3-4. That result extended Olympiacos' winless run in the competition to nine matches (5 draws, 4 defeats). During that sequence the club kept only one clean sheet and conceded two or more goals on five occasions. In the group stage Olympiacos have 13 goals against, a worse figure only for four opponents. In the overall standings the team sits 33rd.
- The club failed to score more than once in 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches.
- On the road in this competition, the Greeks have not won in 11 of their last 12 away fixtures (3 draws, 8 losses).
- Both halves produced at least one goal in 7 of Olympiacos' last 8 Champions League games.
Predicted Olympiacos line-up (4-4-2)
Konstantinos Tzolakis – Rodinei, Julien Biancon, Lorenzo Pirola, Francisco Ortega – Santiago Este, Christos Mouzakitis, Gelson Martins, Gabriel Strefezza – Mehdi Taremi, Ayub El Kaabi.
Defender Panagiotis Retsos is injured.
Referee
Juan Martínez Munuera (Spain)
Matches – 8 (International fixtures, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 38%.
Kairat vs Olympiacos: Match Prediction
Kairat will play two crucial home fixtures in the coming rounds and must maximise their points tally to remain in contention for the knockout places — they sit five points off the play-off zone and face a tough trip to London in the final matchday. Despite much of their home form coming during qualifying, Kairat have been strong at the Astana Arena in this competition, losing there only to Real Madrid (5 wins, 2 draws). Only Real have managed to score more than once against them on home soil. Against a less clinical Olympiacos, a disciplined defensive performance should favour the hosts.
Olympiacos are in a similar table position and will be forced to push forward, which could leave gaps at the back. The Greeks have conceded in 7 of their last 8 away Champions League games and shipped at least two goals in 6 of those matches. Their away form in the competition is poor — just one win in their last 12 away fixtures (3 draws, 8 losses).
My prediction: Kairat to win or draw
