The Italian Super Cup final between Inter and Milan will take place on January 6 at the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh (Saudi Arabia). Inter vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches – 7 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 29%.
Predicted lineups for Inter vs. Milan
Inter (3-5-2): Yann Sommer – Yann-Aurel Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij, Alessandro Bastoni – Denzel Dumfries, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram.
Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Fikayo Tomori, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana – Ismael Bennacer, Christian Pulisic, Alejandro Jimenez – Alvaro Morata.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Inter
In the semifinal, the team faced Atalanta and secured a 2-0 victory, scoring both goals after the break. Inter has won the last three editions of the Italian Super Cup and is aiming for their ninth trophy. Notably, the club has won and kept a clean sheet in the last four matches of this tournament.
Defenders Francesco Acerbi and Benjamin Pavard, as well as forward Marcus Thuram, will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club has won in regular time in their last seven matches in Serie A and the Italian Cup.
- The team's players have scored at least two goals in regular time in their last seven matches in Italian tournaments.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 90 minutes in 8 of Inter's last 10 matches in the league and national cup.
Milan
The team defeated Juventus 2-1 in the semifinal and will play in the final of this tournament for the 13th time. Milan's last final appearance was in the 2022/23 season, where they lost to Inter 0-3. Notably, the club has failed to score in both of their previous Italian Super Cup finals.
Defender Alessandro Florenzi and forwards Samuel Chukwueze and Noah Okafor will miss the game due to injuries.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 matches in the league and national cup (5 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has conceded no more than one goal in 90 minutes in their last four matches in Italian tournaments.
- A maximum of three goals have been scored in regular time in Milan's last five matches in Serie A and the Italian Cup.
Inter vs. Milan: Match Prediction
Simone Inzaghi's side is rightly considered the favorites in this matchup. Inter's current form is impressive, with a seven-match winning streak across all Italian tournaments. It is also worth noting that during this period, the team thrashed a strong Lazio 6-0 away in the league. Furthermore, in their last five Serie A and Italian Cup matches, the club has won without conceding.
Milan's recent results are not unsatisfactory, but the team clearly lacked stability, and Paulo Fonseca's dismissal was not surprising. New head coach Sergio Conceicao is still adapting to the club, and despite the victory over Juventus in his first match in charge, I do not expect Milan to perform heroics against an in-form Inter.
I anticipate another strong performance from Simone Inzaghi's team. My prediction: Inter to win
