The matchday 22 Bundesliga fixture between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Freiburg will take place on 14 February at the PreZero Arena in Sinsheim. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Freiburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
After a five-match winning run in the league, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim suffered a heavy defeat to Bayern Munich (1:5) last time out. It is worth noting that Christian Ilzer's men had not conceded more than once across seven Bundesliga matches before the trip to Munich. However, the goal they scored helped the hosts stay second in the list of the league's top-scoring sides. In the overall standings, the club remained in third place. We should also add that at home this season the home team have not drawn a single match (seven wins, three defeats).
- At least one goal was scored in both halves in 12 of TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's previous 14 Bundesliga matches.
- At home, the team have won seven consecutive league matches.
- In six of their last seven home games in this competition, the club scored at least three goals.
Potential TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineup (4-5-1)*
Oliver Baumann – Albian Hajdari, Ozan Kabak, Kevin Akpoguma, Vladimir Coufal – Bazoumana Toure, Leon Avdullahu, Grischa Promel, Andrej Kramaric, Alexander Prass – Fisnik Asllani.
Defender Koki Machida, as well as forwards Tim Lemperle, Adam Hlozek and Cole Campbell, will miss out through injury. Defender Kevin Akpoguma is suspended.
Freiburg
Freiburg beat Werder 1:0 at home last time out. Julian Schuster's men managed to keep a clean sheet for the first time in nine league matches, and overall it was Freiburg's fifth shutout of the season. The away team are in decent form, having avoided defeat in six of their last eight Bundesliga matches (four wins, two draws), and those results have helped the side stay close to the European places, six points adrift of the zone.
- No more than three goals were scored in five of Freiburg's last six league matches.
- Away from home, the club have failed to win eight of their last nine Bundesliga matches (three draws, five defeats).
- In five of their last six away games in this competition, the club conceded at least twice.
Potential Freiburg Lineup (4-5-1)*
Noah Atubolu – Bruno Ogbus, Maximilian Rosenfelder, Matthias Ginter, Christian Gunter – Johan Manzambi, Maximilian Eggestein, Vincenzo Grifo, Jan-Niklas Beste, Patrick Osterhage – Igor Matanovic.
Defender Philipp Lienhart and midfielder Daniel-Kofi Kyereh will miss out through injury. Midfielder Johan Manzambi and head coach Julian Schuster are suspended.
Referee
Florian Exner (Germany)
Matches – 7 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 31;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 29%.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Freiburg: Match Prediction
The hosts deserve credit. In the previous round, Christian Ilzer's men were reduced to 10 early on, but still managed to cause Bayern Munich's defence plenty of problems. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are unlikely to change their approach in the upcoming match, especially given their excellent home results. In Sinsheim, the home side have won seven straight league matches, and in that run they scored fewer than three goals only once. Notably, the opponents included teams from the European places.
Freiburg have collected just nine of their 30 points away from home in the 2025/26 Bundesliga season. Julian Schuster's men have only managed away wins against relegation battlers Werder and Wolfsburg, and they conceded three against the latter. Defensive issues are one of the main reasons for the club's poor away results: in five of their last six matches, the team allowed at least two goals.
Prediction: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, double chance + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from its previous match in this competition is listed.
