The Matchday 24 Bundesliga fixture between Hamburger SV and RasenBallsport Leipzig will take place on 1 March at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Hamburger SV
Last round’s draw with 1.FSV Mainz 05 (1:1) was Hamburger SV’s eighth stalemate of the current campaign and a sixth straight match in which the team have managed to take points (2 wins, 4 draws). After 22 matches, the club sit 11th in the Bundesliga standings with 26 points. Matches involving the home side can hardly be described as entertaining: across those 22 games, the team have scored just 25 goals - the fourth-worst total in the league. That said, Hamburger SV’s home record stands out against their overall numbers. On home soil, the hosts have been far more consistent: just 2 defeats from 11 matches (5 wins, 4 draws).
In 9 of the previous 11 league matches, the team have scored at least once.
In the last seven home Bundesliga matches, Hamburger SV have not suffered a single defeat (3 wins, 4 draws).
Both teams have scored in 6 of the club’s last seven home matches in this competition.
Potential Hamburger SV Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Daniel Heuer Fernandes - Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha - Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nikolai Remberg, Miro Muheim - Ransford-Yeboah Konigsdorffer, Philippe Otele - Robert Glatzel
Forwards Fabio Balde, Albert Gronbaek and Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit, as well as midfielders Bakery Jatta and Albert Sambi Lokonga, will miss the match through injury. Defender Luka Vuskovic is suspended.
RasenBallsport Leipzig
There was no winner in last round’s match against Borussia Dortmund - the game finished 2:2. After that result, the club remained fifth in the German top flight. The side are two points away from the European places, but the closest chaser is also just two points behind. It is worth noting that Ole Werner’s men have just one win in their last five Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), although they have scored in every game across that stretch.
Both teams have scored in each of RasenBallsport Leipzig’s last five league matches.
Across the club’s previous six away Bundesliga matches, they have managed only two wins (2 draws, 2 defeats).
The team have scored in 9 of 11 away matches this season.
Potential RasenBallsport Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Peter Gulacsi - Max Finkgrafe, Nicolas Seiwald, Willi Orban, Benjamin Henrichs - Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Brajan Gruda - Conrad Harder, Antonio Nusa, Yan Diomande.
Forward Johan Bakayoko, goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and midfielder Assan Ouedraogo are injured.
Referee
Bastian Dankert (Germany)
Matches - 8 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) - 26;
Average yellow cards per match - 3.3;
Red cards shown - 1;
Average fouls per match - 20;
Penalties - 25%.
Hamburger SV vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: Match Prediction
Hamburger SV have been producing consistent results on home soil, even against higher-profile opponents. In Matchday 10, the team shared the points with Borussia Dortmund (1:1), and they also earned an entertaining draw against Bayern Munich (2:2). Overall, the club’s home record looks solid: from 11 matches at their own ground, Hamburger SV have suffered only two defeats. Moreover, the first setback came as far back as Matchday 2, while the second was by the narrowest of margins. Their defensive reliability also deserves special mention. In every home match of the 2025/26 season, the hosts have not conceded more than two goals, including against teams from the upper reaches of the table.
RasenBallsport Leipzig’s away record looks respectable at first glance: the club have avoided defeat in 8 of 11 games (5 wins, 3 draws). But a closer look changes the picture. Most of those wins came against teams near the bottom, and there have been only two truly emphatic successes: a thrashing of bottom club Heidenheim and Augsburg back in Matchday 8. In addition, Ole Werner’s team have not scored more than two goals in five straight Bundesliga matches.
Taking all of the above into account, the hosts are unlikely to allow RasenBallsport Leipzig to create many clear-cut chances.
Prediction: RasenBallsport Leipzig, under 2 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this competition.
