The Round of 16 match in the German Cup between Hamburg and Holstein Kiel will take place on December 3 at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburg vs. Holstein Kiel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's side progressed to this stage by defeating Pirmasens (1-1, extra time 1-0) and Heidenheim (1-0). Over the past six seasons, Hamburg has reached the Round of 16 in the national cup only twice and has advanced past this round just once. Notably, in their last ten matches in this tournament, the team managed to score more than one goal in regular time in only three games.
- Both teams scored in regular time in 6 of the club's last 8 home matches in the German Cup.
- The team scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in regular time in eight of their previous home matches in this tournament.
- Hamburg conceded in regular time in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Hamburg (3-4-3)
Daniel Heuer – Jordan Torunarigha, Miro Muheim, Luka Vuskovic – Alexander Rößing-Lelesiit, Nicolai Remberg, Albert Sambi Lokonga, William Mikelbrancis – Ryan Philipp, Robert Glatzel, Nicolas Capaldo.
Defender Warmed Omari, midfielder Daniel Elfadli, and forward Yussuf Poulsen will miss the game due to injuries.
Holstein Kiel
Marcel Rapp's side also started from the Round of 64, where they defeated Homburg away (2-0). Holstein Kiel then overcame a Bundesliga opponent, winning 1-0 in an away match against Wolfsburg. As a result, the club has reached the Round of 16 in the German Cup for only the third time since the 2012/13 season, with the team advancing further just once in this period. In regular time, Holstein Kiel has lost only once in their last seven national cup matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has won 4 of their last 5 away matches in the German Cup.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in regular time in 8 of the team's last 10 away matches in this tournament.
- Holstein Kiel has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 10 of their last 14 away matches in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Holstein Kiel (4-5-1)
Jonas Krumrey – Lasse Rosenbom, Marco Ivezic, Marco Komenda, John Tolkin – Alexander Bernhardsson, Magnus Knudsen, Jonas Terkelsen, Kasper Davidsen, Adrian Kapralik – Phil Harris.
Defender John Tolkin and midfielder Steven Skribski will be unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Tobias Welz (Germany)
Matches – 5 (Bundesliga and German Cup, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 20%.
Hamburg vs. Holstein Kiel: Match Prediction
In cup matches, Hamburg rarely delights their fans with vibrant and high-scoring performances. Even at home, the club doesn't score much: in their last 11 home matches in the German Cup, Hamburg has never scored more than two goals in regular time. Moreover, in eight of these games, the team scored at most once in 90 minutes.
Holstein Kiel, although not consistently successful in away cup matches, has recently shown reliability in defense. In their last six national cup matches, the team kept a clean sheet in regular time four times and conceded more than two goals only once.
I anticipate strong defensive actions from the visitors, and my prediction: Hamburg Individual Total Under 2
