The Matchday 11 clash in the Russian Premier League between Dynamo Moscow and Akhmat will take place on October 19 at the VTB Arena. Dynamo Moscow vs. Akhmat: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Dynamo Moscow
Valery Karpin's side suffered a 3-5 defeat to Lokomotiv in the last round, ending a three-match unbeaten run in the league (2 wins, 1 draw). However, Moscow has scored at least two goals in each of their last four matches in this tournament. Yet, Dynamo has conceded in their last five Premier League games. Moreover, the club has kept only two clean sheets in the RPL 2025/26, with only four teams performing worse in this regard. In the overall standings, Moscow occupies the 8th position.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Dynamo's last 8 league matches.
- At home in this tournament, the team has not lost in 13 of their last 15 matches (9 wins, 4 draws).
- Moscow has scored at least three goals in 5 of their last 7 home games in the Premier League.
Predicted lineup for Dynamo Moscow (4-3-3)
Andrey Lunev – Rubens Dias, Maksim Osipenko, Juan Caceres, Bakhtiyor Zainutdinov – Daniil Fomin, Danil Glebov, Bitello – Ivan Sergeyev, Anton Miranchuk, El-Mehdi Mauhub.
Injured players include defender Milan Majstorovic, forward Denis Makarov and Arthur Gomes, as well as midfielder Luis Chavez.
Akhmat
Under Stanislav Cherchesov, Akhmat suffered their first Premier League defeat in their eighth match (4 wins, 3 draws). The team lost 0-2 to Krasnodar, ending a seven-match scoring streak in the RPL. Akhmat failed to score for only the third time in the current championship. The club is positioned 9th in the league table.
- Akhmat has conceded at least one goal in 6 of their last 7 RPL matches.
- The team has not won in 13 of their last 14 away league matches (5 draws, 8 losses).
- Akhmat has scored against their upcoming opponent in the last 6 head-to-head meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Akhmat (4-5-1)
Giorgi Shelia – Turpal-Ali Ibishev, Maksim Sidorov, Miroslav Bogosavac, Nader Ghandri – Manuel Keliannu, Ismael Silva, Egas Kasintura, Brian Mansilla, Lechi Sadulaev – Georgy Melkadze.
Defender Usman Ndong is suspended.
Referee
Ranel Ziyakov (Russia)
Matches – 7 (RPL, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 30;
Penalties – 29%.
Dynamo Moscow vs. Akhmat: Match Prediction
In the last 7 league matches where Moscow was favored, Dynamo confirmed this status only three times. Two of the three opponents in these meetings are fighting for survival, and Samara is not far from the play-off zone. Nevertheless, bookmakers again favor Valery Karpin's team. However, at home, the capital club has won 3 of their last 7 Premier League matches, two of which were by a minimal margin.
Akhmat's unbeaten streak ended against the reigning champion. But the match could have turned out differently if Georgy Meladze had converted a penalty. Krasnodar currently looks more convincing than Dynamo, and Akhmat could perform better in the upcoming game. Notably, before the last round, the club had suffered only two away defeats in the RPL 2025/26, both by a one-goal margin.
My prediction: Akhmat with a handicap (+1.5)
